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99 overpair

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iPoker - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: $19.50 (VPIP: 20.42, PFR: 16.63, 3Bet Preflop: 5.59, Hands: 496)
Hero (UTG): $10.35
CO: $13.96 (VPIP: 19.66, PFR: 15.73, 3Bet Preflop: 4.76, Hands: 184)
BTN: $18.87 (VPIP: 16.49, PFR: 13.40, 3Bet Preflop: 9.52, Hands: 198)
SB: $10.00 (VPIP: 15.56, PFR: 12.45, 3Bet Preflop: 2.33, Hands: 266)

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has 9♠ 9♦

Hero raises to $0.35, CO calls $0.35, BTN calls $0.35, SB calls $0.30, fold

Flop: ($1.50, 4 players) 5♥ 5♠ 3♦
SB checks, Hero bets $1.00, fold, BTN calls $1.00, fold

Turn: ($3.50, 2 players) 3♥
Hero bets $2.00, BTN calls $2.00

River: ($7.50, 2 players) J♠
Hero bets $2.50, BTN calls $2.50

Hero mucks 9♠ 9♦ (Two Pair, Nines and Fives) (Pre 18%, Flop 8%, Turn 5%)
BTN shows T♣ T♠ (Two Pair, Tens and Fives) (Pre 82%, Flop 92%, Turn 95%)
BTN wins $11.67

Any advice ? think he could have had 66-88 in just the same amount of cases and that he would also call with that, or is that a wrong assumption?
the bet on river was bit a block bet, maybe just check since he will have difficulties betting for value with anything? or shove it to really rep big pair and make him fold 10s ? or like I did and hope next time he shows 88 ?


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2 replies

so I saw I posted it wrong but how can I delete this thread?? or can an admin do this for me ?


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Hello,

Until the river is fine.

On the river, against this guy who looks rather nitty, I would go for check/fold unless you have seen him calling down in spots like this with a hand like 66-88.

Best,
Plamen


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