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[SH[ NL5: QQ preflop decision

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Zeffke
Joined: 17.04.2007

Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (BTN): $5.18 (103.6 bb)
SB: $7.33 (146.6 bb)
BB: $4.55 (91 bb)
UTG: $3.92 (78.4 bb)
MP: $5.74 (114.8 bb)
CO: $5 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with Q Q
2 folds, CO raises to $0.17, Hero raises to $0.52, 2 folds, CO raises to $1.30, Hero folds

Villain stats (195 hands):
VPIP: 15
PFR: 11
Steal: 28
FoldToSteal: 89
3Bet: 1.4
FoldTo3Bet: 0 (out of 1)
4Bet: 0
Ag.Frequency (total-flop-turn-river): 40-50-33-17
WTSD: 18

I know this is BTN vs CO but still. He's so nitty I couldn't pull the trigger. Is it a mistake to fold this? I don't see him capable of 4betting light. So his range is basically KK+. Best case scenario I would include AKs.

So if I go broke I need to pay $4.48 to win $10 (before rake). Or 44.8% equity.

Equity
CO 72.80% KK+, AKs
BU 27.20% QQ

That's not even close. Is it better to flatcall with JJ, QQ and AK versus these nits? I'm really struggling with AK, QQ and JJ on these microlimits.


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2 replies

Hello,

I think that players usually go broke in this spot with at least QQ+, AK, unless this is a zoom game where players tend to stack off tighter.
If he goes broke with QQ+, AK we are around break even, and we are winnig every time he bluffs, so I think this is rather a shove.

If it was MP vs UTG I would fold.

Best,
Plamen


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Zeffke
Joined: 17.04.2007

It was Zoom BTW :)


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