I just got bashed by what seems to have been a good regular. After dropping 3BI's to him, I decided he wins and I stopped the match. Besides not being sure of where my profit will come longterm vs him, I also lost on my SH tables 2BIs, so I knew I'm not on my best game anymore.
Villain OR 100% to 2BB, cbet like 70% of the flops always 1/2 pot. When barreling he always bet pot.
Twice he made some nice overbets, always with close to nuts, or nuts. I might just have learned a nice spot to overbet 2* pot if I have an aggressive image.
He owned me overall because I didn't have any idea of how to play him. But I don't think his edge is big on me and if one coinflip I would have won I would have probably played him more and kick his ass after figuring out his strategy ♦
This hand:
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
($105)
Hero ($76)
Hero posts (SB) $0.25
Dealt to Hero A♦ K♦
Hero raises to $1, raises to $3.50, Hero raises to $10, raises to $23, Hero raises to $76 (AI), calls $53
FLOP ($152) 7♦ 2♥ 2♣
TURN ($152) 7♦ 2♥ 2♣ J♥
RIVER ($152) 7♦ 2♥ 2♣ J♥ J♣
shows T♥ T♦
(Pre 54%, Flop 73.1%, Turn 86.4%)
Hero shows A♦ K♦
(Pre 46%, Flop 26.9%, Turn 13.6%)
wins $151
I started to 4bet him a bit more often and now he could also have been trying to 5bet bluff (which I'm not sure if he is capable of doing, as this is the only spot like this).
... But I will probably not playing him again very soon, as playing another reg especially at NL50 would be suicide because of the rake.