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NL5 FR A4s 3bet bluff flop shove

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Known Players:
UTG2: $5.47 - 109 bb
UTG3: $4.15 - 83 bb
MP1: $5.14 - 103 bb
MP2: $6.47 - 129 bb
MP3: $16.97 - 339 bb
CO: $5.07 - 101 bb
BU: $3.93 - 79 bb
SB: $8.82 - 176 bb
BB: $9.56 - 191 bb

0.02/0.05 No Limit Hold'em (9 Handed)
Hand recorder for this hand: PokerStrategy.com SideKick 1.1.417.4

Preflop: Hero is SB with A♥, 4♥
Hero posts small blind ($0.02), BB posts big blind ($0.05), 6 folds, BU raises for $0.10, Hero 3-bets $0.33, BB folds, BU calls

Flop: ($0.75 - 15 bb) 7♣, 5♠, 3♥ (2 Players)
Hero bets $0.50, BU raises for $3.58, Hero calls

Turn: ($7.91 - 158.20 bb) 8♦ (2 Players)

River: ($7.91 - 158.20 bb) K♥ (2 Players)

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BU was 41/35/0 over 17.

PREFLOP
3bet bluff. From the low sample and his stack size he is likely to be loose passive, meaning that he calls 3bets light.
Therefore, I should only 3bet for value with AQ+/TT+ and call with the rest.

FLOP
I need 40.31% equity to break-even.

It's close call/fold if his range is QQ-77/55/33/A7s
Board: 7c5s3h
Equity Win Tie
MP2 39.79% 39.24% 0.54% { Ah4h }
MP3 60.21% 59.67% 0.54% { QQ-77, 55, 33, A7s }

If we he bluffs at least some % of the time with Kx the call becomes profitable.
If not, it should be a fold.
However, I assume he bluffs here at least sometimes.


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1 reply

Hi Dawidas

Preflop: You have it right, ideally you want to expend your value range instead of bluffing, at least until you know more.

However, you can definitely go higher than AQ+/TT. I'd add at least AJs, KQs there.

As played your best case scenario is less than break even which is not great for us. It's true that it's close but I still think folding is correct.


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