missplayed sevens, heads up

Not 3-betting here pre-flop is perfectly fine and is actually my standard line

There's no way this is a check raise. Do you think a better hand is folding? Do you think you really have value against his range which will see showdown?

It terms of a balanced decision we should not be folding more than 20% of our total range on this flop maximum. Our opponent is getting 4.5-1 on his bet so if we fold much more that 20% of the time his continuation bet is going to be profitable by default even if he checked back every turn and folded to a river bet

In terms of that, assuming we have a 60% range for defending our BB vs a CO steal the bottom 20% of our range are truly hopless hands like 87o, 76s etc which have no redeeming value at all either as a bluff or in terms of their equity.

Additionally assuming we don't 3-bet at all we have a widened range at this point containing many strong hands so there's no reason to try and x/r for what is hyper thin value here and tbh probably 0 value vs his range (vs my CO opening range you have about 45% equity here)

So the flop decision is a pretty simple check/call

On the turn, depending on what it is we'll have a decision to make but if the turn is relatively safe (i.e. low) I think we will be check/calling again and on the river it will be another decision based on the card involved. Again on a brick 77 is probably going to be a check/call but on a card like an Ace or King you're probably going to end up check/folding

Thanks for your help a lot of things you mentioned, but i thought worse would call on flop, some big draws he might have.

On one street that is correct you could have the best hand and gain value but as part of a 3-street strategy for the hand that's not ideal

1) You're opening yourself up to getting blown off the hand by a turn raise
2) If you call down a turn raise you're probably spewing
3) He's not going to pay you off on the river with his draws so you end up losing money by not letting him barrell