[SH] NL50 AQs

I think ppl bluff too much when PFR checks. Almost everyone at NL50 is on autobet when this happesn. Usually because not too many players have a balanced checking range, so when they check, they can't defend their checks enough, so they check/fold most of the time, and cbetting too much. So yeah, I'd expect a bluff lot of the time by those 2 overs (so don't miss value, instead getting more if he bets too much). Against pairs, I wouldn't 3barrel recklessy, he is a fish after all, and each time I barrel, his range gets stronger, and my SD value gets weaker.

I can continue on turns I'd barrel anyways (except K,J, but I'll have AKs, and AJs in my check/call range here, so it's not a problem folding AQs), but I'm going against a 100% flopping range, not a stronger range that called my cbet.

So the idea behind this, that having nut air, I want to play against his air range. Against pairs, I can improve quite often (2OC,BDFD,BDSD), and have implied against his bluffs if we hit TP (gets barreled by bluff, or by value). Sometimes I x/c flop, then turn brings EQ, x/c again, and I can improve, or can win if villain gives up his bluff.

Originally posted by Holy93
I think ppl bluff too much when PFR checks. Almost everyone at NL50 is on autobet when this happesn. Usually because not too many players have a balanced checking range, so when they check, they can't defend their checks enough, so they check/fold most of the time, and cbetting too much.

I agree, but 'ppl' = regs, and in this case he is a fish, so why do you give him the same assumptions as to an average NL50 reg?

Well, yeah he is a fish. But he has a folding and a countinuing range too What range do we want to play against with the nut air? A range that contains sets, pairs, and 2 overs? or a range than contain all trash that would fold if we cbet, but gets the opportunity to bluff when we check?

I like x/calling the flop if hes gonna fold AJ when we cbet.

If hes gonna float our cbet with worse Ax than I preffer betting.

So I am likely to cbet vs fish and x/c vs reg here..

Even a reg would float this flop often and so you make him put more money into the pot by betting but ofc I can see the idea of checking against a more aggressive opponent. The problem is that you rely on villain giving up on bluffs and you hitting which means you have 2 factors you don't control at all. That can work but it's not often the best way to go about it. It works a lot better when you have a hand that has more actual equity and has no benefit from making opponent fold air. Here, making him fold 76s type hands can be debatate to be a 'win' over letting him control the action.