This is probably a question that has been asked before -- so if anyone knows please redirect me to the relevant thread.
We have KK in the BB and 3bet a LAG who has raised in the CO.
LAG has positional PFR of 30% and calls about 50% of the time to a 3bet.
His/her/its calling range will be something like A8s+,ATo+,44+, 76+,all sooted broadways,KQo,QJo,JTo (or fairly similar).
He/she/it is capable of making moves on scary boards.
Flop: AA2
Equilab says we have EV of around 70% -- the precise value depends on just how many Aces LAG calls with -- everything else we are miles ahead of.
Remove AA/KK/AK from his range as he 4bets/shoves these PF -- our EV is now 75%.
Given that we only get value from worse pairs, and are crushed by all his Aces (and he never folds those, clearly) -- what should we do here?
Check-calling can get him to bet his (worse) PP -- but also his Aces with impunity.
Check-raising looks dumb and gets us pot-committed is a horrible spot.
Given he will call a cbet with a lot of his hands, including his Aces -- we are merely postponing a tough decision 1 street.
Thoughts on this appreciated -- because I am lost for a viable strategy bar check-fold (wait for a better spot) or open-shove (take an EV-based action but one which gets folds from all worse and calls from all better, bar perhaps QQ-TT).
And...
Same problem but with JJ -- we have 65% EV -- but is it really any different?
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