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[SH]Rush NL25 - JJ
 
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[SH]Rush NL25 - JJ

 
Hand discussions for No Limit
Last Post by _Anonymous_ 13 years ago
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bosiati
bosiati
Joined: 23.05.2008
Posts: 421
09.10.2013, 18:20

Full Tilt, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, Rush, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (BTN): $25 (100 bb)
SB: $20.98 (83.9 bb)
BB: $35.03 (140.1 bb)
UTG: $34.02 (136.1 bb)
MP: $30.59 (122.4 bb)
CO: $25.31 (101.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with J J
UTG calls $0.25, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1, 2 folds, UTG calls $0.75

Flop: ($2.35) 7 9 8 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $1.75, UTG calls $1.75

Turn: ($5.85) J (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $4, UTG raises to $31.27, Hero calls $18.25 and is all-in

River: ($50.35) K (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Hello!

UTG Stats (include this hand):
32hands, 34/3
FoldToFlopCb:75
AF:1.5, AFq(HM):16
WTSD:36, W$SD:100(4)

Can I fold turn?

Thanks!
Bosiati


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5 replies
_Anonymous_
_Anonymous_
09.10.2013, 18:32

Hi bosiati,

PReflop: looks fine

Postflop: The fold is a simple odds calculation unless you expect to ever be ahead.

You call 18.25 to win 50.35 (before rake) so you have to be good 36% of the time which is far from your actual equity (when behind).


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bosiati
bosiati
Joined: 23.05.2008
Posts: 421
09.10.2013, 18:51

Thank you!

I have 23% equity when I am behind, but there are sets in his range, and J9 two pair.


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_Anonymous_
_Anonymous_
09.10.2013, 20:36

Originally posted by bosiati
Thank you!

I have 23% equity when I am behind, but there are sets in his range, and J9 two pair.

So sets wait to raise the turn when the draw completes?

I really don't think so. Maybe there's some 2p but you also block the Jx.


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bosiati
bosiati
Joined: 23.05.2008
Posts: 421
10.10.2013, 05:42

Yeah, he is a fish ♦ I think he can play like this with sets. And sometimes flop two pairs.


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_Anonymous_
_Anonymous_
10.10.2013, 17:57

Originally posted by bosiati
Yeah, he is a fish ♦ I think he can play like this with sets. And sometimes flop two pairs.

I really think you are a bit optimistic and want to justify your call when you say that sets will play like this.

Sure, 1 in 100 may do this but I can't expect it with any decent frequency.


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