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nl50 - Interesting River Spot 3-way

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Ghartman
Joined: 28.10.2011

$0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $51.46 (102.9 bb)
Hero (SB): $51.86 (103.7 bb)
BB: $68.27 (136.5 bb)
UTG: $50.25 (100.5 bb)
MP: $22.21 (44.4 bb)
CO: $58.10 (116.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 9 T
2 folds, CO raises to $1.50, BTN calls $1.50, Hero calls $1.25, BB folds

Flop: ($5) J 7 K (3 players)
Hero checks, CO checks, BTN bets $3.50, Hero calls $3.50, CO calls $3.50

Turn: ($15.50) 2 (3 players)
Hero checks, CO checks, BTN bets $11, Hero calls $11, CO folds

River: ($37.50) Q (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $35.46 and is all-in, Hero????

Hi,

I've just started on a new site so no real stats/info on much of the field. This was fast-fold poker.

Pretty standard pre-flop, I might throw in a cheeky squeeze here sometimes but I think flatting is ok here. BB was running at 14/7 over a small sample so not too squeezy I'm guessing.

An interesting flop, HU I'm definitely raising here sometimes with my double-gutter & BD flushdraw but 3-way I think I can peel a turn here. A good turn, giving me potentially loads of outs now. Was tempted to shove over BTN's second barrel but I don't actually mind CO coming along to be honest. Would a shove here be a decent option? Again, an interesting river. One of my outs comes in but obviously so does the flush. Villain shoves here as expected.

JJ, KK & QQ most likely 3-bet pre. 77, KJ & KQ makes sense and obviously some flushes for value. J7 & K7 maybe, I put them into equilab anyway plus a few possible bluffs:


Board: K♠J♠7♣ 2♣ Q♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    26.54%  23.87%   2.66% { 77, K2s+, QTs, T8s, AsTs, As9s, Ts9s, As8s, 9s8s, As7s, 8s7s, As6s, 7s6s, As5s, 6s5s, As4s, 5s4s, As3s, 4s3s, As2s, 3s2s, ATo, KJo+, K7o, QTo, T8o+, 98o }
MP3    73.46%  70.80%   2.66% { Tc9c }

Pretty surprised by the results. I'm not sure how accurate my range is for him particularly regarding the flush draws he could have. Maybe I made some mistakes somewhere? All J,K & Q combo's are obviously discounted so I gave all the low Ax & some suited :spade: connectors etc...Let me know what you guys think.

Thanks


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2 replies
Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

turn shove is good i guess, as played river is an easy fold

i think the range you give him is too wide, and specially i don't think that he ships 2p for value on this river.


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Hi Ghartman

Given that two people called down the flop and then you called the turn he has to expect you have at least quite a few flush draws in your range so his river shoving range should not include hands like AK.

I'm really not sure why you add all Kx hands into his range. The way it stands you have K2s+ so that includes hands like K3hh for example which I doubt he ever shoves.

So his range on the river is either pure bluffs or KQ+ at best. I think your hand is a fold without info.


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