NL30 SH AKo

Hi speeki890722

Preflop: looks fine

Postflop: If he doesn't fold to 3-bets and cbets doesn't that make his range very wide? Doesn't that mean that we can valuebet vesus him?

Also, aren't high aggressions and bet sizes great for us to bluffcatch against as they include more bluffs?

Here we go. Some thinking issue, always good to find these.

His CO RFI is 15%.

So we can say his range : {77+,A7s+,K9s+,QTs+,JTs,ATo+,KTo+,QJo} this is the top 15%

This means on the flop I have 65% EQ against his range.

Another fact he is only raised once in 3B pot for cbet out of 7.

This means if he x/r me I can simply fold, becouse he is not bluffing often. And against his value range I have only 23% (TP+)

If he calls on flop and donks on turn, unless I improved I can fold safely, becouse on the turn he is not so maniac(16% donkbet)

Sample size is not so high, only 428 hands.

So now,I think the most preferable line is to b/f on flop, cbh turn and call on river (unless I improve)

I put this board in equilab, and found out some intresting stuff.

The fact that he is folding 38% for cbets. I think with his range he is very likely to call on this flop, becouse it's a totally "blank" for his range, I dont see any reason for him to fold for a half pot bet.

Lets assume I betted half pot on the flop and checked behind on this turn.

If 9 or lower card comes i have 70% against his range.
On Q, T , J it is around 50%
Of course K and A is the nuts.

So Q,T , J not the best river, but still I have to call.

Additionally if the turn and river both Q or T or J thats a reason for fold. (So turn Q river T, or turn J river Q etc.)

Is it a good thinking?

Hi,
I think against stabby fish it's better to xback and call twice if low cards come.
AK beats all of his BW -> you have a bluffcatcher
He is agro -> you can profitably bluffcatch.
Q, J, T helps his range, so on these runouts you can fold.

Both betting flop, checking turn, calling river and checking flop, calling turn/river are fine options with our hand.

But checking back and folding on a blank is g enerally not vs this type of villain.

So if you did bet half pot and checked behind and he bet river you can call quite a few cards, even some of the worse overcards (afterall you generally only have to be good 25-30% of the time when you call and his range is really wide).