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NL10 fr 22 fold flop instant?

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martinemem
Joined: 05.07.2011

PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 7.89, PFR: 5.26, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 38)
SB: 104.2 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 4)
BB: 191.5 BB (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 32)
UTG: 239 BB (VPIP: 7.25, PFR: 5.80, 3Bet Preflop: 3.70, Hands: 71)
UTG+1: 125.7 BB (VPIP: 5.00, PFR: 2.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 41)
UTG+2: 116.5 BB (VPIP: 14.06, PFR: 9.38, 3Bet Preflop: 3.70, Hands: 64)
MP: 126.9 BB (VPIP: 11.11, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 36)
MP+1: 101.1 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 16.67, Hands: 19)
Hero (CO): 207.6 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 2♦ 2♣

UTG raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 2 BB, fold, fold, BB raises to 4 BB, UTG calls 2 BB, Hero calls 2 BB

Flop: (12.5 BB, 3 players) A♣ 2♥ 3♥
BB bets 10 BB, UTG calls 10 BB, Hero raises to 33.5 BB, fold, UTG raises to 235 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 170.1 BB and is all-in

Turn: (429.7 BB, 2 players) 9♣

River: (429.7 BB, 2 players) J♠

Spoiler

UTG shows 3♠ 3♦ (Three of a Kind, Threes) (Pre 80%, Flop 95%, Turn 98%)
Hero mucks 2♦ 2♣ (Three of a Kind, Twos) (Pre 20%, Flop 5%, Turn 2%)
UTG wins 414.7 BB

BB could very easy be holding Axs, xhxh. He is pretty tight, but the size of his 3bets suggest he is a rec player.
Rfi guy is 7% utg, small sample. So unknown range, since he might be minraising another range.

When he shoves, i used my hole timebank, and hated to call. And know it feels more like a BE call, than a -ev call as i thought it was.
Reason is, Ahxh isnt that much likely since we are on nl10, he is not raising AhTh-. For sure, And AhKh, he might be inclined to 4bet. I havent seen him 4 bet yet though, but he is folding 78% to 3bets, so not impossible for him.

When minraise, and flats the 3b, he cant really have AA that much.

So i have given him 1 combo of AA, AhTh, AhJh, Ah,Qh, 33.

Vs this range i have only 33% eq. so should be a instant fold. I cant really give him AhKh, since im not so sure he would minraise, and just flat a 3bet this small.

If i then remove 1 of 3 combos of 33, i still only have 27.3% eq.


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1 reply

Hi martinemem

Preflop: looks fine

Postflop: Given you are 200 BB deep with BTM set this should be a fold on the flop vs a UTG player. So unless we think he can spew here with random Ax I can't see us calling and showing even a small profit.


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