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99 vs strange line 30$ 6max

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Gavron23
Joined: 26.05.2010

Poker Stars, $27.84 Buy-in (10/20 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: 1,410 (70.5 bb)
SB: 1,290 (64.5 bb)
BB: 1,890 (94.5 bb)
UTG: 1,410 (70.5 bb)
Hero (MP): 1,440 (72 bb)
CO: 1,560 (78 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 9 9
UTG folds, Hero raises to 60, CO calls 60, 3 folds

Flop: (150) A 7 4 (2 players)
Hero bets 70, CO calls 70

Turn: (290) 6 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

River: (290) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets 360, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

290 pot
Final Board: A 7 4 6 8
Hero mucked 9 9 and lost (-130 net)
CO mucked and won 290 (160 net)

Villain is 26/19 1.4 460 hands
I am a bit confused with his line - if he had some sort of JT of hearts on turn why wouldnt
he bet them IP?
The only hands that make sense are A5s or 55, but why would he overbet the river with them, when he probably would get called only by another straight or flush?

Then again his stats look passive enough for me to lean agaisnt hero calls.


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a passive player definitely checks flush draws on the turn.

I don't think we can ever call river, I have learnt (the hard way) that river over-bets from fishy guys are always the nuts.


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