$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
PokerStars
2 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
Stacks:
SB 1MAXIMO1 ($154) 77bb
BB jhyjg ($205.64) 103bb
Pre-Flop: ($3, 2 players) jhyjg is BB 5♥ K♠
1MAXIMO1 raises to $4, jhyjg calls $2
Flop: J♣ K♣ A♣ ($8, 2 players)
jhyjg checks, 1MAXIMO1 bets $6, jhyjg calls $6
Turn: 10:spade: ($20, 2 players)
jhyjg checks, 1MAXIMO1 checks
River: Q♥ ($20, 2 players)
jhyjg bets $152,
checking math on the hand
2nd hand 90%+ sure guy is fish. given stack size and ipad sign on stars
we assume avg fish opens 80% of buttons
so 1/4 are suited 1/4 are right suit
fish flop flush 0.85% of the time
but monotone board is 5% of flops
so 0.85 times 20
17% chance you flop a flush if you are suited on that board
so 17%/4
4.25% chance he has flush
then factor in 8/10 chance he bets turn with flush
0.85% chance he has flush
then factor he calls 25% of the time to play the board
i win 20 dollars 74.15% i chop win 10 dollars 25% i lose 160 0.85%
14.83 + 2.5 - 1.36 = ev$
ev$ = 15.97
other options
check max $ev =10 but obv sometimes fish will bet and cause problems
overbetting pot ev hard to figure out as sometimes fish will raise you maybe he thinks straight is the nuts??? causes problems...
