Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

Squeeze spot or Fold?

3 Posts
2 Users
0 Reactions
311 Views
Rich552
Joined: 15.12.2012

No Limit Hold'em $0.05/$0.10
PokerStars
9 players
Formatted by pokercopilot.com - Mac OS X hand history analysis and tracking

Stacks:
UTG - UTG ($9.71)
UTG+1 - UTG+1 ($10.00)
UTG+2 - UTG+2 ($8.82)
MP - MP ($12.39)
MP2 - MP2 ($3.47)
CO - CO ($10.82)
BTN - BTN ($6.27)
SB - SB ($6.35)
BB - Hero ($13.94)

Preflop: ($0.15, 9 players) Hero is BB with A♣ Q♣
6 folds, BTN raises to $0.30, SB raises to $1.00, Hero raises to $2.50, 1 fold, SB raises to $6.35 (all-in), Hero ???

Villain who opens BU is shaping up to be a loose/passive(40/5 20 hands), the SB re-steals and is unknown (3bet from SB already after 2 hands).

I cold 4bet over re-steal as a squeeze play is this the correct play assuming villain is unknown or should I just fold? I don't think I should 4bet/fold here but is that an option as well?


Reply
Quote
2 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Should we 4bet fold or 4bet call?

1. Your size is very sub optimal. You basically committed yourself into calling. When you make it 2.50, you need to call 3.85 more to win 13, pot odds = 29.6%

Equity Win Tie
MP2 28.60% 27.30% 1.31% { AQs }
MP3 71.40% 70.09% 1.31% { QQ+, AKs, AKo }

Even against this ultra strong range, you have almost enough equity to call. So based on your 4bet size, you are committed and have to call.

You should make your 4bet size 1.80-2$.

SB is short, ranges are wider for 3betting. I think AQs is a call.

Equity Win Tie
MP2 39.83% 32.17% 7.66% { AQs }
MP3 60.17% 52.51% 7.66% { 88+, AQs+, AQo+ }

Villain is probably jamming 99+, AQ+, maybe even 88. Your pot odds if you make it $2 preflop is ~33% which makes it a pretty clear call.

And this is a clear 4bet, assuming the average guy at microstakes is 3betting 10%+ of hands here in SB vs BU.


Reply
Quote
Rich552
Joined: 15.12.2012

Thanks a lot.


Reply
Quote