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WU early floped set

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TheRebuz
Joined: 12.10.2008

PokerStars - $200+$15|20/40 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 10,060 (VPIP: 15.13, PFR: 12.35, 3Bet Preflop: 6.86, Hands: 274)
SB: 9,560 (VPIP: 17.29, PFR: 15.70, 3Bet Preflop: 9.66, Hands: 595)
Hero (BB): 9,377
UTG: 9,280 (VPIP: 6.45, PFR: 4.84, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 63)
UTG+1: 9,178 (VPIP: 20.21, PFR: 17.15, 3Bet Preflop: 9.01, Hands: 289)
UTG+2: 9,660 (VPIP: 17.65, PFR: 13.33, 3Bet Preflop: 4.08, Hands: 478)
MP: 12,622 (VPIP: 28.65, PFR: 17.30, 3Bet Preflop: 8.14, Hands: 190)
MP+1: 10,443 (VPIP: 13.33, PFR: 8.96, 3Bet Preflop: 5.08, Hands: 273)
CO: 9,820 (VPIP: 18.93, PFR: 16.10, 3Bet Preflop: 4.46, Hands: 282)

SB posts SB 20, Hero posts BB 40

Pre Flop: (pot: 60) Hero has 8♠ 8♣

fold, fold, UTG+2 raises to 80, fold, MP+1 calls 80, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 40

Flop: (260, 3 players) Q♥ 8♦ T♣
Hero checks, UTG+2 bets 160, fold, Hero raises to 400, UTG+2 calls 240

Turn: (1,060, 2 players) T♥
Hero bets 600, UTG+2 raises to 1,960, Hero ?????


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3 replies
ShadDoneWin
Joined: 18.08.2012

His stats are reasonably tight, I'm not sure if he's opening QT here. I think it's much more likely to be KQ/AQ but it really makes no sense.

If you flat his raise, you can c/c or bet/f the river, depending on player aggro.

The most important thing to note is, if he had QQ ( which is unlikley but poss considering his stats ) or if he had QT which is just unlikely considering his stats, why would he raise what's going to be the nuts 88% of the time? Unless you've got a read that he's an absolute fish or is on some high level, I guess you just can't fold because it makes no sense


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letmewinplz8
Joined: 15.05.2010

Agree doesnt open QT pre^^

So i b/call ch/call and let him have bluffs in his range whilst losing the min if am beat and he has played it bad - too thin to reraise I think and almost any hand u get value from 3betting ott probs bets most rivers anyway and this coupled with value from bluffs make that line best imo

And is quite standard raise with QQ/QT ^^ - how else do you get stacks in by the river???


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chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

Hi all,

Bet/call turn, check/call river is good here.


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