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nl100 67s

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sandraardnas
Joined: 11.01.2012


Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $128.68 (128.7 bb)
Hero (SB): $169.90 (169.9 bb)
BB: $112.33 (112.3 bb)
UTG+2: $140.20 (140.2 bb)
MP1: $100.53 (100.5 bb)
MP2: $93.50 (93.5 bb)
MP3: $100 (100 bb)
CO: $113.15 (113.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 6 7
5 folds, BTN raises to $2, Hero raises to $8, BB folds, BTN calls $6

Flop: ($17) 5 Q Q (2 players)
Hero bets $8, BTN calls $8

Turn: ($33) 9 (2 players)
Hero bets $20, BTN calls $20

River: ($73) 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

Results:

Spoiler

$73 pot ($2.80 rake)
Final Board: 5 Q Q 9 4
BTN showed K 9 and won $70.20 ($34.20 net)
Hero showed 6 7 and lost (-$36 net)

Hey,
in this situation I decided to have like 20% 3b cause he calls pre and folds later quite often. His overall fold to river bet is 64%. What do you think about that?

On flop I tried to fold K high and worse. What worst hand would you expect this player to call flop? I didnt expect K9 for sure from guy with 58% fold to cb ip in 3b. But yet I still see profit in that bet.

On turn aimed at Ahigh and pockets.

On the river he has around 27 Qx and sets, TT/JJ, some A9, 88 Im not sure. I didnt see enough FE against that range.
Should I just always check here and give up with all my bluffs?


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w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Sandraardnas,

Postflop reads generally a good reason to increase preflop aggression, so no problems with this.

Ftcbet 3b pot is around 55% which is slightly high, but not super tight or anything. I would expect him to defend any mid to high PP's he called with preflop + also to float with some broadways with backdoors. K9:d is probably outside expected defending range here but it's not ridiculous wide or anything - perhaps he has some stats on you etc.

Seems reasonable to fire river and exploit the high river fold. But admittedly it's close and I doubt we can fold that much more than 40% of his river range. (Depends on his exact river range really).


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