AQ vs 3bet river

Joined: 05.08.2007

29.05.2014, 13:53 0

PokerStars - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 139 BB (VPIP: 37.50, PFR: 29.17, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 25)
Hero (SB): 174.44 BB
BB: 223.06 BB (VPIP: 29.71, PFR: 20.29, 3Bet Preflop: 7.14, Hands: 367)
UTG: 229.3 BB (VPIP: 21.09, PFR: 19.73, 3Bet Preflop: 12.24, Hands: 150)
MP: 128.06 BB (VPIP: 21.11, PFR: 16.34, 3Bet Preflop: 4.52, Hands: 793)
CO: 109.06 BB (VPIP: 23.47, PFR: 17.35, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 100)

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q♥ A♥

fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, BB raises to 8.5 BB, Hero calls 5.5 BB

Flop: (17 BB, 2 players) 9♣ A♦ 6♥
Hero checks, BB bets 10.5 BB, Hero calls 10.5 BB

Turn: (38 BB, 2 players) 2♦
Hero checks, BB bets 24 BB, Hero calls 24 BB

River: (86 BB, 2 players) 2♥
Hero checks, BB bets 58 BB, fold

Spoiler

BB wins 82.12 BB

is river fold ok? I see rarely people 3 barrel Axx boards in stars, so I think it is fold.

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2 replies

_Anonymous_

29.05.2014, 18:16 0

Hi GingerKid

Given how the board evolved and how he has bet on all 3 streets I think that it's possible he can valuebet worse hands as well.

As far as better hands go he can have AK and AA and maybe 99. But do you see anything else?

So it's enough for him to valuebet some worse Ax, which I think it's possible, for us to make a mistake folding.

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GingerKid

Joined: 05.08.2007

Posts: 4,913

29.05.2014, 19:15 0

He bets for sure AA, A9, A6, A2, 99 for value which is around 10 combos because we dont know which he 3bets.

So I need him to bet 3 combos worse. I just dont see possible bluffs except pure spew, and I dont remember seeing somebody 3 barrels AJ, AT on Axx vs any positions. Well maybe fish they do, but I dont remember seeing even one example vs me, they usually play check behind flop, or bet flop bet turn check river if drawy board.

I used to play 1 year ago in stars, where I also didnt see 3 barrels from AJ, and recently I started again, so after around 20k hands I didnt see blufffs on Axx, or AJ.

In general people super rarely bluff river unless scare card comes, it is amazing that there are so many players in NL50 stars, and almost everyone plays similar. When they bet river after bet bet bet, it is in most cases nuts, or at best strong pair, so I dont see really light value bets.

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