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NL25 stackoff spots.

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Do you shove here?

*HAND ONE*

PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (CO): $26.18
BTN: $50.32 (VPIP: 25.26, PFR: 18.95, 3Bet Preflop: 5.13, Hands: 96)
SB: $25.00 (VPIP: 18.15, PFR: 14.11, 3Bet Preflop: 3.57, Hands: 255)
BB: $21.45 (VPIP: 48.00, PFR: 12.00, 3Bet Preflop: 3.57, Hands: 51)
UTG: $45.80 (VPIP: 32.08, PFR: 26.42, 3Bet Preflop: 15.00, Hands: 53)

SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has T♥ J♥

fold, Hero raises to $0.75, fold, fold, BB calls $0.50

Flop: ($1.60, 2 players) 8♦ 2♥ 6♥
BB bets $0.25, Hero calls $0.25

Turn: ($2.10, 2 players) 8♥
BB bets $0.75, Hero raises to $4.50, BB raises to $8.25

*Hand one explained*

Preflop: JTs falls within my standard/default 3x range from the CO. I open and it folds to the BB who is a loose fish. He could call with an enormous range here given the improved odds, his VPIP, his fishiness, and given that my open was from the CO.

Flop: standard call. He's giving us odds to hit the flush on the turn alone. No need to raise whatsoever.

Turn: We hit our flush and are met with some shared enthusiasm for the turn card.
I put fish on a range of:

  • 22/66/88+ (50% of QQ combos removed to account for 3bets and 66% of AA/KK combos removed as well.)
  • A8s/o
  • K8s/o
  • Q8s/o
  • J8s (non hearts)
  • All suited aces of hearts except for the ones that are blocked and AK/AQ which I expect to 3bet.
  • Some Kx/Qx of hearts (a generous dose)
  • 89s/o
  • Other random suited heart hands (connectors, 1 gappers that are feasible).

If that list is 100% accurate and we expect a call 100% of the time, our equity is 60.03%.

*HAND TWO*

PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (MP): $25.00
CO: $55.12 (VPIP: 25.23, PFR: 19.63, 3Bet Preflop: 6.38, Hands: 108)
BTN: $25.50 (VPIP: 18.11, PFR: 14.17, 3Bet Preflop: 4.31, Hands: 261)
SB: $42.42 (VPIP: 35.48, PFR: 29.03, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 31)
BB: $34.98 (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 10.71, 3Bet Preflop: 3.23, Hands: 57)
UTG: $46.69 (VPIP: 30.51, PFR: 25.42, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 59)

SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has A♥ A♦

fold, Hero raises to $1.00, fold, BTN calls $1.00, fold, fold

Flop: ($2.35, 2 players) 6♠ Q♦ 4♠
Hero bets $1.85, BTN calls $1.85

Turn: ($6.05, 2 players) 7♣
Hero bets $4.80, BTN calls $4.80

River: ($15.65, 2 players) 2♦

*Hand Two Explained*

Preflop: Fairly self explanatory. I raise to 4x pre because there's huge fish on the table, and because I'm in MP.

Flop, Turn & River: Dry runout, getting calls from AQ / KK on both a LOT, and maybe TT/JJ on the rare occasion. AQ and KK alone make up for more combinations than all possible sets, and 77 will only call the flop occasionally. 22 does not make river. KK and AQ are the likeliest hands in his range once he calls turn. I don't think there are any possible two pair, and he of course has 1 combo of the other aces that we chop with.

*HAND THREE*

PokerStars - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: $26.41 (VPIP: 26.09, PFR: 15.22, 3Bet Preflop: 2.78, Hands: 95)
SB: $10.24 (VPIP: 77.78, PFR: 55.56, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 10)
Hero (BB): $25.35
UTG: $64.04 (VPIP: 25.79, PFR: 21.91, 3Bet Preflop: 8.81, Hands: 544)
MP: $27.40 (VPIP: 13.21, PFR: 11.32, 3Bet Preflop: 5.26, Hands: 54)
CO: $89.60 (VPIP: 19.30, PFR: 12.28, 3Bet Preflop: 4.00, Hands: 58)

SB posts SB $0.10, Hero posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has 3♦ 4♦

UTG raises to $0.75, fold, fold, BTN calls $0.75, fold, Hero raises to $3.25, UTG calls $2.50, BTN calls $2.50

Flop: ($9.85, 3 players) 3♠ 3♥ 5♣
Hero checks, UTG checks, BTN bets $4.00, Hero calls $4.00, UTG calls $4.00

Turn: ($21.85, 3 players) A♦
Hero checks, UTG checks, BTN checks

River: ($21.85, 3 players) J♦

*Hand Three Explained*

Preflop: I squeeze for several reasons.

  • The player UTG raises wide from this position.
  • Player on the BU can call with a wide range knowing this, and he's flat called before (as loose as 63s and A3o in the blinds).
  • They both have a very high fold to 3bet% and I look strong here.
  • In the unlikely event that they do not fold, their call 3bet% is still higher than their 4bet%. This means that if we go postflop, I'm playing an unlikely holding that can flop well deceptively. In the rare event that I do make a straight, there are plenty of AQ / some AJ / the occasional AK in the average 3bet calling range that might stack off with the pair.

Flop:
Best case scenario. I flop trips.
I don't want to lead out against two players after squeezing because I may scare some 99/TT and I want to encourage AK / AQ to bet. If villains hold strong broadways it doesn't hurt to give them the opportunity to pair up either.
I check/call flop, representing 99-AA basically. I don't expect them to EVER have a 3, or to ever suspect that I have one, and I don't expect them to have 55 often at all (MAYBE BU). I don't need to raise to get it all-in easily on turns and rivers, and I want to encourage JJ/QQ to keep valuebetting.

Turn:
Very dynamic card. Anyone with 99-KK etc. has to be scared now. If I lead out on the turn I think I'll fold out these hands a lot, but if I shove a blank river (or even a broadway or something) they might level themselves into a call thinking I'm bluffing / getting stupid with QK on a K river etc.
Turn checks through.

River:
If I shove, I expect to get calls from AJ/AQ/AK always. Weaker aces maybe since I called turn. I expect to sometimes get calls from QQ/KK thinking I'm valuebetting a J or bluffing after the turn check through. JJ/AA are all I'm worried about, and AA would shove over the squeeze preflop a lot of the time.


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4 replies
TortoiseAndHare
Joined: 24.01.2014

Hi sliggy,

For starters. Nice evaluations!

Hand 1:

Until flop well played. You raise BB bet x 6. Because he is a fish and calling station? Normally I would raise between 3-4 times here.

BB could have a better flush given his play, but there are still a lot of hands in his range that you beat. And you should protect against a strong flushdraw from BB here to complete on the river.

Shoving would be my line of play. What would yours be?

Hand 2:

BTN is playing a passive line. He is taggy so probably not a calling station. Expect KK and AA to often raise pre flop from BTN. No flush or straight possible (he wouldnt call with 35 preflop I presume). Could be slowplayinh set 6,Q,4. 77 won't make it to the turn often.

Would check/call the turn. There aren't any worse hands that will fold since they also called the flop and turn.

Hand 3:

I doubt if AK/AQ would call a shove on the river. THink they would have shown more aggression on turncard (scarecard). Little use in slowplaying top pair.

Think value betting 1/2 potsize is the best action here. Could still get calls from both players. Checking to induce a bluff is too passive here.

Best regards,
TortoiseAndHare


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You're right that AQ and AK shove turn. That's why OOP I checked, to allow more shoves from AQ where they might otherwise find a fold with AQ if I shove straight up and show THAT much aggression.


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And shoving was my play on each hand :P


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hand 1 and 2 are fine.

Not betting flop at hand 3 is a criminal. Huge leak.


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