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JJ sqeeze vs bet Qxx

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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

partypoker - $1 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 62.93 BB (VPIP: 14.26, PFR: 9.07, 3Bet Preflop: 6.01, Hands: 1,532)
SB: 42.53 BB (VPIP: 14.91, PFR: 12.28, 3Bet Preflop: 2.56, Hands: 116)
Hero (BB): 225.84 BB
UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 13.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 122)
MP: 62.06 BB (VPIP: 25.61, PFR: 11.46, 3Bet Preflop: 2.46, Hands: 296)
CO: 135.63 BB (VPIP: 22.48, PFR: 16.85, 3Bet Preflop: 8.04, Hands: 3,556)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J♠ J♦

fold, fold, CO raises to 3 BB, BTN calls 3 BB, fold, Hero raises to 14 BB, CO calls 11 BB, BTN calls 11 BB

Flop: (42.5 BB, 3 players) 5♦ 5♥ Q♣
Hero checks, CO bets 21 BB, fold, Hero calls 21 BB

Turn: (84.5 BB, 2 players) T♥
Hero checks, CO checks

River: (84.5 BB, 2 players) 5♣
Hero bets 7 BB, CO calls 7 BB

Spoiler

Hero shows J♠ J♦ (Full House, Fives full of Jacks) (Pre 54%, Flop 72%, Turn 68%)
CO mucks K♥ A♥ (Three of a Kind, Fives) (Pre 46%, Flop 28%, Turn 32%)
Hero wins 95.5 BB

ft3b 56%, 4bets 13% of time, saw him slowplaying premiums. He is here more likely to slowplay premiums because of fish, right?
Fish is very tight, so I am not sure if it is worth it, probably not. Fish open raises 8bb so he is not reg.

CO bets 60% vs missed cbet. Is it ok to call once and give up? I cc also KQ, QQ here.

Is river ok for thin value, or c/f?


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3 replies
adrimam67
Joined: 18.11.2010

I think I'm just c/folding otf vs the reg.
If he had checked and the fish had bet 1/2 then I'd be okay with a c/c.

The bet vs missed flop CB stat is not really relevant in this particular spot as it's a squeezed 3way pot.
Moreover, if you think about his range at this point, it probably looks like pocket pairs, Qx and Ahi. So I don't see what bluff he could possibly have.

Btw, what do you think about the way he played this hand ? I think the flop bet is quite terrible.


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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

I think he played the flop fine. he had bdfd, improves equity on T, J. He cant hope to check down 3way and wins often enough.
I think he should bet turn with his nice draw to fold my 2nd pairs.
BTN is tight fish, so I think he will bet here wider than usual.


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey guys,

Reg will be betting tighter due to presence of tight fish. I don't think AKs is that bad of a flop bet or anything though so it's not like we are never good - but I expect regs range to be merged in general thanks to the fish and the 3-way pot.

So, I don't x/c flop is terrible or anything, but marginal, and likely not that bad to just x/f flop here.

Turn and river are played fine.


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