Poker Stars, $1.40 Buy-in (40/80 blinds, 8 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 3 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
Hero (SB): 1,334 (16.7 bb)
BB: 1,188 (14.9 bb)
BTN: 478 (6 bb)
Preflop: Hero is SB with 9
6![]()
BTN folds, Hero raises to 1,326 and is all-in, BB folds
Results:
Spoiler
184 pot
Hero mucked 9
6
and won 184 (96 net)
When I was playing this spot, I was adamant that this was a shove. With the big blind having a stack of 12bb effective, and me having 13bb effective, i knew that if I shove ATC here, it's going to be profitable because the big blind should fold 90-95% of his hands (Key word: should), knowing that if he folded, the shorty was likely to be busted first.
Then I remembered that the big blind was an aggressive recreational player, who probably had no idea of his profitable ranges in this spot, and would likely call here with a 20% range, which would make my shove massively unprofitable.
So I just wanted to get anybody's opinion on spots like these, particularly in the microstakes, because they seem to be a double edged sword. Yes we may come across these spots that seem hugely profitable, but if the general playerpool isn't GTO/Nash savvy, it can backfire on us (luckily i escaped this example unharmed). It's up to us to navigate these spots using intuition, adjusting our ranges and being flexible.
What do you think?
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