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NL25 FR 77 sick spot

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marcosmartinez
Joined: 03.07.2013

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $42.33 (169.3 bb)
BB: $30.96 (123.8 bb)
UTG+1: $24.19 (96.8 bb)
UTG+2: $25.68 (102.7 bb)
MP1: $77.31 (309.2 bb)
MP2: $62.98 (251.9 bb)
MP3: $25 (100 bb)
CO: $25.70 (102.8 bb)
Hero (BTN): $26.44 (105.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 7 7
UTG+1 raises to $0.75, 5 folds, Hero calls $0.75, 2 folds

Flop: ($1.85) 7 2 A (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $0.97, UTG+1 calls $0.97

Turn: ($3.79) 2 (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $2.38, UTG+1 calls $2.38

River: ($8.55) Q (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $5.40, UTG+1 raises to $13.30, :f_ugly:

Villain in 39 hands 13/8, search bloqued, I call preflop cause SB is a fish

i dont see worse hands in his line .. i put him in 22, AA, QQ sometimes, and probably some random overplay of AQ.

i think that if he has some 2X is just A2s..

to call river i need 22%, and i dont think that he would xr AQ the necesary amount of times, it would be a HUGE overplay by him

what do u think?

regards


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2 replies
WilliamBoo
Joined: 11.06.2012

Fold, capo.


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Hi marcosmartinez

Preflop: looks fine

Postflop: tough spot here given the positions and play. In theory he shouldn't have many worse hands but he reps 3 combos of AA, 1 combo 22, and possibly 3 combos QQ.

That means that worse case scenario where he has all those combos he beats us with 7.

So if 7 combos can be 78% (since you need 22% to break even) that means that he needs only 2 combos of worse hands for you to break even. Just 2.

AQ has a potential for 9 combos. A2s is another combo.

So I don't think we can fold with the info we have.


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