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TQs flush vs river shove

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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

partypoker - $0.04 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 151 BB (VPIP: 25.19, PFR: 18.80, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 274)
SB: 184 BB (VPIP: 24.34, PFR: 15.04, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 233)
Hero (BB): 185.5 BB
UTG: 144.75 BB (VPIP: 23.23, PFR: 19.35, 3Bet Preflop: 9.90, Hands: 316)
MP: 165.5 BB (VPIP: 22.51, PFR: 19.61, 3Bet Preflop: 9.32, Hands: 635)
CO: 63 BB (VPIP: 13.89, PFR: 5.56, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 38)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T♠ Q♠

fold, fold, CO raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 2 BB

Flop: (6.5 BB, 2 players) 7♠ 5♠ A♠
Hero bets 4.5 BB, CO calls 4.5 BB

Turn: (15.5 BB, 2 players) 3♣
Hero bets 11 BB, CO calls 11 BB

River: (37.5 BB, 2 players) A♣
Hero bets 21 BB, CO raises to 44.5 BB and is all-in, fold

Spoiler

CO wins 99.25 BB

I donk because he is tight, so I dont expect so much agression if i check.

is river call? I guess we can discard bluffs from his range especially when I look commited, but we could put some overplay hands in his range, like weaker flushes, maybe even some AK, AQ, so we can make a call? What if the raise size would be 3x, or even 4x?


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3 replies
MancaMulas
Joined: 12.03.2009

I would fold preflop. It would be much better to call if villain was deep, because that's a hand you want to play for semibluff/nuts when you call a raise preflop.

As played, and given his stack size, what are you afraid of on the river? You just can't be afraid of a higher flush (just one) or a boat.


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey GingerKid,

Preflop defend is fine. This is one way poker has changed in the last 5 years, we have to defend stuff like this from the BB.

Donk flop is fine.

Turn for value is fine.

River is unlikely to be a bluff. I imagine we beat enough of the hands he is overvalueing for a call here though. Worse flushes, any Ax that thinks it's the nuts.


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nguyenhieudl
Joined: 15.02.2013

i think he have Ax , nice hand


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