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K2o NL10 speed bluff bluff, bluff

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imfar
Joined: 20.07.2009

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $10.25 (102.5 bb)
BB: $22.49 (224.9 bb)
UTG: $11.04 (110.4 bb)
MP: $5.75 (57.5 bb)
CO: $23.57 (235.7 bb)
Hero (BTN): $11.40 (114 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 2 K
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.25, SB raises to $0.80, BB calls $0.70, Hero raises to $2.25, SB folds, BB calls $1.45

Flop: ($5.30) 9 5 T (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2.65, BB calls $2.65

Turn: ($10.60) A (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $6.50 and is all-in

Standard steal SB folds to steal 60%, BB 73.
SB is 22/16 3Bet:8.5. He 3Bets vs BTN 26% and 3Bets from SB 18% so on the whole I expect him to defend about ~20 in this situation . His Fold to 4Bet is 69 (26).

What do you think about this and about the sizing?

I don't expect BB to flat my sqz 4Bet very often. To be honest I was quite surprised seeing this. He is 22/12 F3Bet: 18 F4Bet:33(6)
Really hard to guess what is he calling here: TT-QQ, AQ, AK. I don't expect him to be tricky and slowplay KK+ here.

Do you cBet here? With what sizing? And what with the turn?


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w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Imfar,

Preflop 4b squeeze is likely way too wide here. It might exploitatively be fine vs SB but BB has a low Ft4b and our hand is not going to play that well in a 4b pot.

Postflop, I would just check flop. Our hand does not have enough potential to make a decent cbet and there is a reasonable chance BB has something.

Sizings are fine, it's just way too wide.


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