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99 in SB vs whale NL25 SH

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gabi1986
Joined: 10.10.2009

Hello,

I have this hand vs whale not a lot of hands vs him. The hand is played at zoom tables.
What's the best play on this board?

MP: $16.89 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 12, 3B: 4, AF: 0.8, Hands: 81
CO: $26.61 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 19, 3B: 9, AF: 4.0, Hands: 411
BTN: $27.16 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 15, 3B: 4, AF: 3.3, Hands: 7493
Hero (SB): $25.00 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 18, 3B: 8, AF: 2.8, Hands: 442934
BB: $32.77 - VPIP: 65, PFR: 22, 3B: 27, AF: 1.5, Hands: 23
UTG: $14.65 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 8, 3B: 0, AF: 1.0, Hands: 52

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is SB with 9 :club: 9 :spade:
3 folds, BTN raises to $0.62, Hero calls $0.52, BB calls $0.37

Flop: ($1.86) 7 :diamond: 4 :diamond: 8 :club: (3 players)
Hero bets $1.21, BB raises to $5.49, BTN folds, Hero?


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3 replies
Ganimator
Joined: 14.02.2013

*Read the hand wrong the first time*

I like the flat pre because the whale in the BB.

Given how wide the whale is and that with his high 3bet he doesn't have TT+ I would call flop and evaluate turn.

There's also a good chance that these huge whales raise 8x for some kind of protection/value, if he checks back turn you can value bet most rivers(for about 1/2 pot) including :diamond: since he would most likely follow through on the turn with a flush draw and his range would be heavily weighted towards 8x and smaller pairs which raise for protection.

If the turn is a diamond and he bets I fold.

If he bets big on an overcard or a blank I fold as well. If he bets 1/2 pot I would continue on any card but an A. Since he would would have all A6,A7,Axs combos that may play this way.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

And why don't we let the whale bet himself on the flop?


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Gabi1986,

I think flop lead is a decent option in this spot. We don't want to risk giving free cards in a 3-way pot on this texture. There is no guarantee the whale bets, it's better we bet ourselves.

Obviously not a great spot to face a raise from BB here. Many guys do not raise light 3-way. We are aware that he could be raising worse for value though if he is bad. We should probably make a crying call on the flop and evaluate turn - but vs some guys at this limit it can easily end up being an exploitative flop-fold, especially in the multi-way situation.


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