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QQ on AAA board - do you valuebet here?

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Am I missing value by not raising/shoving river? Was kind of frightened for pretty much any Ax here...

Full Tilt - $0.02 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: 620.5 BB (VPIP: 29.46, PFR: 11.61, 3Bet Preflop: 6.67, Hands: 121)
BTN: 108.5 BB (VPIP: 19.72, PFR: 14.22, 3Bet Preflop: 4.71, Hands: 223)
SB: 133 BB (VPIP: 20.83, PFR: 12.50, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 25)
BB: 233.5 BB (VPIP: 57.14, PFR: 7.14, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 14)
Hero (UTG): 102 BB
MP: 149.5 BB (VPIP: 29.45, PFR: 12.24, 3Bet Preflop: 3.94, Hands: 351)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q♥ Q♠

Hero raises to 2.5 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls 1.5 BB

Flop: (5.5 BB, 2 players) J♠ A♦ A♠
BB bets 5.5 BB, Hero calls 5.5 BB

Turn: (16.5 BB, 2 players) A♥
BB bets 16.5 BB, Hero calls 16.5 BB

River: (49.5 BB, 2 players) T♥
BB bets 18 BB, Hero calls 18 BB

Spoiler

BB shows 4♦ 7♦ (Three of a Kind, Aces)
(Pre 20%, Flop 4%, Turn 0%)
Hero shows Q♥ Q♠ (Full House, Aces full of Queens)
(Pre 80%, Flop 96%, Turn 100%)
Hero wins 81.5 BB


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2 replies
metza
Joined: 28.01.2012

Given that most nl2 players will always slowplay the shit out of quads, I would just jam river and if he somehow fastplay Ax, nh to him. It's not like he ever folds Jx/Tx. He is fish and might not even be able to fold hands as weak as 22 because "omg full house" :f_biggrin: So even if your river jam gets called by all his Ax, you still profit long run because he have far more Jx/Tx/Pocket Pair hands that he proabably never fold than Ax.


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Totally agree. I rly need to start thinking in ranges and stop making these herofolds against fish.


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