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99 sets up .... again

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Freddo993
Joined: 12.01.2013

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $27.88 (278.8 bb)
BB: $9.72 (97.2 bb)
Hero (UTG): $9.44 (94.4 bb)
MP: $19.43 (194.3 bb)
CO: $8.18 (81.8 bb)
BTN: $9.20 (92 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 9 9
Hero raises to $0.30, MP calls $0.30, 2 folds, SB calls $0.25, BB folds

Flop: ($1) 5 J 8 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.55, MP calls $0.55, SB calls $0.55

Turn: ($2.65) 9 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1.50, MP calls $1.50, SB raises to $27.03, 2 folds

Results:

Spoiler

$7.15 pot ($0.39 rake)
Final Board: 5 J 8 9
SB mucked and won $6.76 ($4.41 net)
Hero mucked 9 9 and lost (-$2.35 net)
MP mucked and lost (-$2.35 net)

this set is pretty sick to me

when i make my set on the turn i have to bet/fold or at least that's the way i see it

what do you guys think about it?

opponent raising to my bet on the turn is 23/16 after only 31 hands


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4 replies
metza
Joined: 28.01.2012

Equity Win Tie
MP2 64.07% 64.07% 0.00% 9h9s
BB 35.93% 35.93% 0.00% QQ-JJ, 88, 55, QTs, QdJd, JdTd

Equity Win Tie
MP2 55.15% 55.15% 0.00% 9h9s
BB 44.85% 44.85% 0.00% JJ, 88, 55, QTs, QdJd, JdTd

Equity Win Tie
MP2 52.62% 52.62% 0.00% 9h9s
BB 47.38% 47.38% 0.00% JJ, 88, 55, QTs

Equity Win Tie
MP2 13.96% 13.96% 0.00% 9h9s
BB 86.04% 86.04% 0.00% JJ, QTs

here's a few different ranges he can have from semi bluffs to only top set and nut straight. He has to only have top set + nut straight for us to not have a call. If he shoves sets and straights, we are still ahead. Not just priced in, ahead of his range.

Also because he calls from SB, I think he is much more likely to have a set than straight here.


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Freddo993
Joined: 12.01.2013

Also because he calls from SB, I think he is much more likely to have a set than straight here.

Can we put him on a set of Jacks? pocket JJs

definately bad fold I guess


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Freddo993
Joined: 12.01.2013

Also because he calls from SB, I think he is much more likely to have a set than straight here.

Can we put him on a set of Jacks? pocket JJs

definately a bad fold here :(


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

JJ is the only scary holding, but he could have more. There was't any re-raising till the river, so he plays his full range here.


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