KQs 3bet pot

UTG is huge nit (10/7 over decent sample) so I think squeezing is a mistake here.

I would just bet flop myself. MP flatting vs UTG then vs sqz is likely AQ+/PP. Due to card removal of our hand KQ and flop A, its a lot more likely he has PP than AK/AQ, and I don't think pp will float even one street on Axx flop after such a big squeeze. Even though we have good equity vs PP, rather just get them to fold than play guessing game on turn and river.

Originally posted by metza
UTG is huge nit (10/7 over decent sample) so I think squeezing is a mistake here.

I would just bet flop myself. MP flatting vs UTG then vs sqz is likely AQ+/PP. Due to card removal of our hand KQ and flop A, its a lot more likely he has PP than AK/AQ, and I don't think pp will float even one street on Axx flop after such a big squeeze. Even though we have good equity vs PP, rather just get them to fold than play guessing game on turn and river.

I agree about sqeeze, didnt notice he is so tight.
If you think that PP are not floating at all (I dont agree, I think it is pure assumption), but even if you are correct, if he checks 100% of time with PP on flop, we get free card, and can bluff him on turn or river. So vs PP that give up vs any action and dont try to bluff, we win the hand anyway, unless he hits set, but that rare.

You win the hand only if you hit...

Originally posted by nitrol
You win the hand only if you hit...

even if so, I have a lot of equity vs his range. Also it is not as you say that I win only if hit. if villian is very nitty (betting AJ, AQ and folding vs turn raise) I can shove turn, if he is very agro (bet folding PP and stuff), cr turn will be nice EV. IF he is checking flop with high % (passive), then I can often take the pot on turn or river unimproved. If he bets flop, and checks turn with high %, then I can take the pot on river.

Originally posted by mlatasrb
I agree about sqeeze, didnt notice he is so tight.
If you think that PP are not floating at all (I dont agree, I think it is pure assumption), but even if you are correct, if he checks 100% of time with PP on flop, we get free card, and can bluff him on turn or river. So vs PP that give up vs any action and dont try to bluff, we win the hand anyway, unless he hits set, but that rare.

This.....

Ok, you opponent is a lag. They like to bluff, they like to raise.

He called a bet from tight UTG raiser and called a big squeeze from you.
I put him on pp, some weak ace and a few sc there.

What you said was good, you can call his bluffs and bluff river unimproved if he shuts down.
I think it is well played hand.

Do you fold turn if he fires a second barrel?
Do you call river if he checks turn, but bet otr?

Do you fold turn if he fires a second barrel?

depends on the size. if I have enough pot odds and if I think that I beat enough bluffs I call. But I think that 2nd barrel on this board is heavily weighted towards value, so I would fold turn (which means that he would check either with high% on flop or turn). If he bets river as played, I would fold, again I think that he is weighted towards Ax, and will check because of that with high %.