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A5 top pair

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djchals
Joined: 09.01.2012

Hi limit friends :)

The vilain is:
57.14/21.43/AF: 0.83

$1/$2 (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: 26.93 BB (VPIP: 46.67, PFR: 13.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 15)
Hero (BTN): 25.44 BB
SB: 16.87 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
BB: 34.84 BB (VPIP: 57.14, PFR: 21.43, AF: 0.83, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 15)
UTG: 29.9 BB (VPIP: 41.67, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 12)

SB posts SB 0.25 BB, BB posts BB 0.5 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 0.75 BB) Hero has A♠ 5♦

fold, fold, Hero raises to 1 BB, fold, BB calls 0.5 BB

Flop: (2.25 BB, 2 players) Q♥ A♣ 4♥
BB checks, Hero bets 0.5 BB, BB calls 0.5 BB

Turn: (3.25 BB, 2 players) K♠
BB checks, Hero bets 1 BB, BB raises to 2 BB, Hero calls 1 BB

River: (7.25 BB, 2 players) 8♥
BB bets 1 BB, Hero calls 1 BB

Spoiler

BB shows 7♥ A♥ (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 64%, Flop 80%, Turn 72%)
Hero shows A♠ 5♦ (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 36%, Flop 20%, Turn 28%)
BB wins 8.88 BB

now reviewing the hand I think he is raising the turn only with top pair medium kicker or more due to his AF 0.83. My kicker is very bad and i lose with A4, and the A♥: x off or suited is in his range. I count three Q, three 4, and two K for tie, and i dont want see a heart in river.... mmm Possible the correct move is bet/fold turn?


Mesa: A♣Q♥4♥ K♠
       Equity   Ganar  Empate
MP2    79.46%  64.41%  15.05% { 44, AQs-A7s, A4s, AQo-A7o, A4o }
MP3    20.54%   5.49%  15.05% { As5d }


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2 replies
Avataren
Joined: 28.04.2010

sure when he raises turn it looks absolutely horrible i hate those spots but i always end up calling down in HU pots and seeing them have a better ace. your right your kicker sucks.. But man how i hate folding a TP here even if we are beat here a lot. and as you say his aggression is low so maybe we should bet/fold. I just don't see myself doing this and that might be a leak.. I'm definitely gonna think about these spots when i encounter them again. Maybe try out the b/f strat..

the gut feeling of is being behind should count because i honestly dont see what hands we are beating that a guy like that would do this with and by the river the board really makes our hand a bluff catcher like we are only beating his absolute trash bluffs. What im mostly surprised by is that he even raises, guys like that as ive seen mostly just call TP down in this spot. it makes no sense to me that he would raise turn of all streets. id do it by the flop or river. :P


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djchals
Joined: 09.01.2012

ok, thank you very much avataren :)


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