PokerStars - $1.32+$0.18|100/200 Ante 25 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3
SB: 3,737.00
BB: 3,182.00
UTG: 1,810.00
UTG+1: 4,583.00
Hero (MP): 5,016.00
MP+1: 2,300.00
CO: 4,492.00
BTN: 1,880.00
SB posts ante 25.00, BB posts ante 25.00, UTG posts ante 25.00, UTG+1 posts ante 25.00, Hero posts ante 25.00, MP+1 posts ante 25.00, CO posts ante 25.00, BTN posts ante 25.00, SB posts SB 100.00, BB posts BB 200.00
Pre Flop: (500.00) Hero has Q♥ Q♦
fold, fold, Hero raises to 400.00, fold, CO raises to 4,467.00 and is all-in, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 4,067.00
Flop: (9434.00, 2 players) 5♥ J♥ K♥
Turn: (9434.00, 2 players) 8♦
River: (9434.00, 2 players) 3♥
Spoiler
Hero shows Q♥ Q♦ (Flush, King High) (Pre 57%, Flop 8%, Turn 5%)
CO shows A♥ K♣ (Flush, Ace High) (Pre 43%, Flop 92%, Turn 95%)
CO wins 9,434.00
Its the final table of 18man sng.
I assign the villain range 99+ AK AQs and vs that range my hand has 56.5% eq.
Looking at pot odds I need 43% eq to call in term of +cEV.
Is calling with QQ in this spot +$EV?
How to determine risk premium in these situations?
If I loose the hand, I`m 99% to drop out when the blinds reach me. If I win, we are still 7 players left and its not even near the bubble.
