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NL16 3bet top pair+draw

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Zeffke
Joined: 17.04.2007

Poker Stars, $0.08/$0.16 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): $19.31 (120.7 bb)
BB: $36.16 (226 bb)
UTG: $24.79 (154.9 bb)
MP: $16.32 (102 bb)
CO: $16 (100 bb)
BTN: $27.47 (171.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 5 A
UTG raises to $0.48, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.48, Hero raises to $1.92, 2 folds, BTN calls $1.44

Flop: ($4.48) T 5 J (2 players)
Hero bets $2.35, BTN calls $2.35

Turn: ($9.18) 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $4.82, BTN raises to $9.64, Hero raises to $15.04, BTN calls $5.40

River: ($39.26) 5 (2 players)

Results:

Spoiler

$39.26 pot ($1.50 rake)
Final Board: T 5 J 4 5
Hero showed 5 A and lost (-$19.31 net)
BTN showed T T and won $37.76 ($18.45 net)

Stats on villain:

Villain basically unknown...

- Preflop: 3bet as a bluff

- Flop: I can get some value out of a part of his range and I defend my equity against hands like AQ/AK by not giving a free card.

- Turn: I pick up my nutflushdraw so I think we can get some Tx hands to fold by betting (and hands like 99,88 that like to peel once and maybe even a QJs).

Once he raises it gets interesting.. His range for doing so is JJ, TT, JTs ,KhQh (9h8h maybe).
Against that range we have 31%.

Board: T♥5♠J♦ 4♥
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    68.64%  68.64%   0.00% { JJ-TT, JTs, KhQh, 9h8h }
MP3    31.36%  31.36%   0.00% { Ah5h }

So I think we can continue with our hand... Reason I shove is if we hit our flush on the river I don't want him to fold the last bet... is this ok? Since we only have about 5$ left into a 22$ pot. Or should we still just call and fold the river?

Thanks in advance,


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5 replies
Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

I would rather fold this hand preflop. Maybe I'm wrong, but I like to have broadways there to squeeze. As played, I kinda like it postflop. We cbet our pair, BDFD and an overcard on the flop and hit a flushdraw on the turn, so we cbet again. I think he would raise 98 and KQ on the flop, mostly, so I would discount those. It very much looks like a set that is scared of flushdraws or some combos of JT. Against JJ-TT,55,JsTs,JcTc we have about 20% of equity and he gave us about 20% of pot odds. We have no fold equity, I think. So, maybe it would be worthed to call the minraise and give up the river if we don't hit our flush. It's probably close between calling, folding and shoving and all options are possible, I would say.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I think the flop hits villain better.


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Zanardi1
Joined: 04.01.2010

Originally posted by nitrol
I think the flop hits villain better.

This and I don't think that OTR villain will fear the flush, because OTT he min-raised you. I think that if he really feared the flush, he'd shove himself.

As played, I'd check OTT then evaluate. As you said yourself, you're in a bad shape so no need to get extra money in bad.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Yes, with pair+FD we can x/call turn.


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marcosmartinez
Joined: 03.07.2013

unless UTG is folding a lot vs 3b/sqz i would just fold preflop

flop cbet is meh, AK AQ would not fold IP to 1 street, so i prefeer to xc once

as played xc turn and if u bet just calls his min raise cause we have odds, this is a spot with 0 f.e imo


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