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TP flop and turn. Bad River card

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2reac
Joined: 10.04.2014

Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2721592
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

UTG: $10.15 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 10, 3B: 0, AF: 5,0, Hands: 125
Hero (MP): $12.27 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 18, 3B: 8, AF: 3,1, Hands: 105357
CO: $5.47 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 15, 3B: 0, AF: 6,0, Hands: 140
BTN: $10.10 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 16, 3B: 5, AF: 1,0, Hands: 202
SB: $13.33 - VPIP: 33, PFR: 18, 3B: 5, AF: 5,3, Hands: 104
BB: $10.00 - VPIP: 31, PFR: 23, 3B: 0, AF: 1,0, Hands: 52

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is MP with Q :diamond: K :club:
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.30, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.30, 2 folds

Flop: ($0.75) 2 :heart: K :heart: J :spade: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.50, BTN calls $0.50

Turn: ($1.75) 5 :spade: (2 players)
Hero bets $1.20, BTN calls $1.20

River: ($4.15) A :diamond: (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $2.61, Hero folds

Even if he has enough missed draws, a reasonable number of it are Ax . I don`t think he bluffs this spot very often to make a +EV call.
What do you think?


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3 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

On the river you are behind. And as villain is passive ( AF1.0) I will fold here.


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totalfish
Joined: 12.05.2010

check fold river i think its the optimal play here. you only have a bluff catcher.


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

Seems like well played. At the first glance, it looks like he might try to bluff with his busted draws, but as you said, most of them contain Ace. Also, I don't expect this player to bet worse hands there, so I think he mostly has something like two pairs, because I believe he would check back Ax.


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