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Is this KQ a shove?

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slippyjim
Joined: 07.10.2011

UTG+2 67/0 3bet 0 - 6 hands
MP2 90/78 3bet 0 - 10 hands

I know the stats are only over a few hands, but they show quite clearly the time of player. When I shove I'm sure UTG+2 will fold. Against such a loose player best to call his raise, shove or even just fold?

Pacific, $2.70 Buy-in (125/250 blinds, 25 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 8,989 (36 bb)
BB: 3,910 (15.6 bb)
UTG+1: 4,184 (16.7 bb)
UTG+2: 3,652 (14.6 bb)
MP1: 2,470 (9.9 bb)
MP2: 5,346 (21.4 bb)
Hero (MP3): 4,423 (17.7 bb)
CO: 4,439 (17.8 bb)
BTN: 147 (0.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with K Q
UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 calls 250, MP1 folds, MP2 raises to 1,350, Hero raises to 4,398 and is all-in, 5 folds, MP2 calls 3,048

Flop: (9,646) 4 7 Q (2 players, 1 is all-in)
Turn: (9,646) K (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: (9,646) T (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

9,646 pot
Final Board: 4 7 Q K T
MP2 showed J A and won 9,646 (5,223 net)
Hero showed K Q and lost (-4,423 net)


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3 replies
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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Sample is indeed low. I don’t know if you have seen some hands of him already at showdown. That could help you as well with you’re decision here. It could be he had a streak of good hands, but without info I would gamble as well here.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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NutzAreOk
Joined: 28.01.2011

I really don`t see flatting range here because the stack sizes. However if we flat here, I would do it only as a trap with nuts hoping we get UTG+2 with us on flop too.


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alenstrat
Joined: 13.03.2009

Although you're quite probably ahead of this maniacs raising range, there is no reason to gamble your tournament on a flip vs. any two random cards against which you're at average only ahead 60/40. I would favor calling behind (at the risk of someone shipping behind you and having to fold) and ship/folding on flop depending if you hit, or waiting till you have a premium hand to ship into him.


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