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NL16 - River spot vs fish 2

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Volrath89
Joined: 23.07.2008

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.16(BB) Replayer
SB ($20.04)
BB ($16.24)
UTG ($16.47)
UTG+1 ($14.76)
UTG+2 ($18.95)
MP1 ($17.88)
Hero ($16)
CO ($16)
BTN ($20.72)

Dealt to Hero J♦ A♣

fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.48, fold, BTN calls $0.48, fold, fold

FLOP ($1.20) K♣ T♥ Q♦

Hero bets $0.86, BTN calls $0.86

TURN ($2.92) K♣ T♥ Q♦ 4♥

Hero bets $2.56, BTN calls $2.56

RIVER ($8.04) K♣ T♥ Q♦ 4♥ 8♥

Hero ???

Check call I don't like it because I have "the nuts" (or had for sure on flop and turn)

Bet fold?


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14 replies
FrozenElf
Joined: 06.07.2015

Villain calls 2 big bets, there are a lot of straight and 2 pair type hands here you can gain value from, that he might check back, now the flush is present, there is a small possibility he has called on a back door flush, I think you can shove the river here, you will get called by worse more often then better, by check calling we only really pay off a flush if he is passive especially.


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VaskataBuci
Joined: 08.08.2011

I think rather about 1/2 pot size bet. You can get calls from 2 pairs, J9, even KJ.


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

never check, its the old story. bf is ok


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I would bet 1/2 and fold to a raise here. A set will not call the shove...


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Do not see really that much BDFs in his range, since he already has called larger sizes on earlier streets. Therefore, I think we still can bet for value, there are various combinations of twopairs or sets - so I would stick with what the others mentioned and bet around half pot. A shove would be obv. ugly, maybe fold then, make a note and observe what he does the next time.


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Volrath89
Joined: 23.07.2008

Yep, I was on my B game when playing this hand. Had I had TT or KQ I think I'd have b/folded (I know, it's silly since it doesn't change the fact of losing vs a flush, but its hard for your brain to accept that your absolute nuts on flop AND turn are beated by a backdoor draw :( )

Complete hand:

Spoiler

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.16(BB) Replayer
SB ($20.04)
BB ($16.24)
UTG ($16.47)
UTG+1 ($14.76)
UTG+2 ($18.95)
MP1 ($17.88)
Hero ($16)
CO ($16)
BTN ($20.72)

Dealt to Hero J♦ A♣

fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.48, fold, BTN calls $0.48, fold, fold

FLOP ($1.20) K♣ T♥ Q♦

Hero bets $0.86, BTN calls $0.86

TURN ($2.92) K♣ T♥ Q♦ 4♥

Hero bets $2.56, BTN calls $2.56

RIVER ($8.04) K♣ T♥ Q♦ 4♥ 8♥

Hero bets $5.11, BTN raises to $10.22, Hero calls $5.11

BTN shows 7♥ K♥
(Pre 39%, Flop 7.8%, Turn 20.5%)

Hero shows J♦ A♣
(Pre 61%, Flop 92.2%, Turn 79.5%)

BTN wins $27.20


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Had to fold... :(


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FrozenElf
Joined: 06.07.2015

This is why i would prefer to shove the river, there is many hands in his range that will call a shove, and it prevents us from making this mistake, but also gains maximum value when, were ahead, id only make a river shove vs a weaker player though.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

On that board not many hands are calling and nearly all of them are flushes...
2P and sets hardly can call a shove here.


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FrozenElf
Joined: 06.07.2015

Originally posted by nitrol
On that board not many hands are calling and nearly all of them are flushes...
2P and sets hardly can call a shove here.

From experienced players yes, but weak players just say "I have 2 pair im calling" then tell there friends "i hit 2 pair guy shoved, i got unlucky"


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

You may be right. But I still think that 2p+ hands are raising long before the river...


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Originally posted by FrozenElf
This is why i would prefer to shove the river, there is many hands in his range that will call a shove, and it prevents us from making this mistake, but also gains maximum value when, were ahead, id only make a river shove vs a weaker player though.

I think shoving the river results in him only calling with his flushes though and folding some of the hands that he would have called a smaller bet with, like 2 pairs, maybe even sets


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Totally agree.


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

If we check there, he probably wouldn't bet his top pair and two pair hands on this kind of board, but when we bet, he might call those. When he raises, we are almost always beaten. This is a nice spot for bluffing, but realistically, I don't expect much players to bluff there on these limits.


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