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Why you lose? Learn by Reinforcement and crush!! - asimos Poker Blog

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dooleslovs
Joined: 17.02.2011

Lol @ sample size play 1 mil hands and u will see streches of 10bb/100 per 100k hands and -2bb/100 when real winrate after 1.25mil hands is 3bb/100. Plyed 1.25 mil hands during last 12 months same style.


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Tinsley15
Joined: 18.07.2013

Asimos can you send me your skype ad. in private, i would like to ask you few questions if it is not a problem. :)


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Coach
asimos
Joined: 22.07.2011

Originally posted by Tinsley15
Asimos can you send me your skype ad. in private, i would like to ask you few questions if it is not a problem. :)

sent :f_drink:


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Coach
asimos
Joined: 22.07.2011

Originally posted by dooleslovs
Lol @ sample size play 1 mil hands and u will see streches of 10bb/100 per 100k hands and -2bb/100 when real winrate after 1.25mil hands is 3bb/100. Plyed 1.25 mil hands during last 12 months same style.

well, I can barely play 30K same style (same style maybe but not same game), cause I am always evolving. Of course sample is small, but I think variance, samples and win rates are over weighted. There is always scientific way to check if just you run good or if you play well.
And yes I agree, if you can play 1m hands same style then you are more sure about your winrate :f_drink:


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Coach
asimos
Joined: 22.07.2011

Originally posted by double2
Very nice results Panos.

Don't get yourself too caught up in increasing 100nl winrate. In my opinion it will be a mistake to wait until you get a 5bb/100 winrate. Just use a decent BR management and try to find out if you are ready to take shots at 200nl, and then do it.

Good luck.

Always useful your advice Pedro. Thanks :f_drink:


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1bustedlife1
Joined: 31.10.2015

_thumbsup:


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IF you need any advice on spewing, pm me.


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vuciitis
Joined: 19.02.2011

Originally posted by gAsheks
IF you need any advice on spewing, pm me.

your spewing skills are too good to be given out for free.

CHARGE THEM BIGTIME! :coolface:


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Coach
asimos
Joined: 22.07.2011

Best poker players are playing at the edge. Spewing is very close to bluffing correctly, but the gap between crushers and regfishes is larger the closer and closer you get. Apparently, most players will be always weak tight calling stations who bluff when they shouldn't and don't bluff when they should :f_drink:


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Coach
asimos
Joined: 22.07.2011

100nl zoom 40K

Its clear from results that probably adaptions regarding the blinds are in correct direction.

On the other hand, BTN win rate is not acceptable. However, I know the reason and at the moment I believe is due to variance. Let's see :f_drink:

Misc
I m truly concerned regarding stars changes. Trying all those years to beat the micros, and now I m moving up those changes come... and will affect the games in a not good way at all!!

Not sure if I should change site or keep playing zoom. For people like me who are not able to put huge volume fast format is a good solution. But if they prohibit huds and decrease the effective rake back, given the fact that win rates already are not big any more + that winning regs are becoming less and less, future of poker seems vague.


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DemonRax
Joined: 11.05.2009

Nice winrates, bro! Keep it up!

As of changes - me personally I think it's all fine. Difference isn't that HUGE - your profits should be at the tables anyway. If you're beating Zoom with 4bb/100 - you should just keep playing it, because other rooms means less traffic, less volume - hence less $/h compared to Zoom winrate. And HUD changes - well, cool... OTHER regs will suffer from being a stat monkeys and grinding on autopilot - you should capitalize and punish them, because THEY will have a hard time adjusting to new conditions.

That's just my opinion obviously :f_cool:


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Coach
asimos
Joined: 22.07.2011

Originally posted by DemonRax
Nice winrates, bro! Keep it up!

As of changes - me personally I think it's all fine. Difference isn't that HUGE - your profits should be at the tables anyway. If you're beating Zoom with 4bb/100 - you should just keep playing it, because other rooms means less traffic, less volume - hence less $/h compared to Zoom winrate. And HUD changes - well, cool... OTHER regs will suffer from being a stat monkeys and grinding on autopilot - you should capitalize and punish them, because THEY will have a hard time adjusting to new conditions.

That's just my opinion obviously :f_cool:
I hope to be shooting 200nl soon. Regarding hud I think i can exploit stats better than other regs and imo i have one of best huds out there. On the other hand strategy > hud. So I guess we need to wait and see :)


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DemonRax
Joined: 11.05.2009

Everyone thinks his HUD is the best one :f_biggrin: And obviously everyone is right because we each have the HUD suits best for us. But yeah, that's what I was saying - higher the limit more skill required and HUD becomes less and less important as an additional helping tool.

Have you tried StarsHelper? With the stacks in BB's and pot odds? I think Stars might forbid that too...


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Coach
asimos
Joined: 22.07.2011

Originally posted by DemonRax
Have you tried StarsHelper? With the stacks in BB's and pot odds? I think Stars might forbid that too...

I use table optimizer. Manages the tables and has the stacks in BB function as well. Doesn't show the odds though, so I hope it will escape the changes. Have subscription until February if i am not mistaken.


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DemonRax
Joined: 11.05.2009

Yeah, saw it - yearly subscription :/ StarsHelper is a lifetime license. But I guess we'll have to wait and see which software survives and which not :)


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Where is my supernova dream? Gone?


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Coach
asimos
Joined: 22.07.2011

Originally posted by gAsheks
Where is my supernova dream? Gone?

More important is to keep dreaming and putting goals, not the dream itself :f_drink:


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Coach
asimos
Joined: 22.07.2011

When a reg tilts from the way I play my BB!! I 3bet him probably a lot:f_drink::f_cool:

I admit that he has a lot of fold equity :f_love:

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $117.30 (117.3 bb)
Hero (BB): $100 (100 bb)
UTG: $134.12 (134.1 bb)
MP: $31.55 (31.6 bb)
CO: $34.01 (34 bb)
BTN: $173.53 (173.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 7 8
4 folds, SB raises to $9, Hero folds

Results: $2 pot
SB mucked and won $2 ($1 net)


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Coach
asimos
Joined: 22.07.2011

Last 100K 50nl - 100nl zoom..:f_drink::f_drink:


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double2
Joined: 04.11.2008

Amazing results Panos. Congratulations. This next Thursday I'm the one learning :)


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