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bluff the River? vs. thinking Reg

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Grisuuu
Joined: 23.04.2014

Hey Guys

Bu is a Regular with vpip/pfr 28/20 300 hands

when he checks back the flop and calls the turn i but him on 2 Broadways most likely A high, on the river i tryed to get him off the Hand

need to say that i also do this to balance my Range cause on similar Situations i also overbet with Nuts or very Strong Hand

thx for Input

cheers Tony

Pacific, $18.20 Buy-in (50/100 blinds, 10 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 4 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 1,779 (17.8 bb)
Hero (BB): 3,341 (33.4 bb)
CO: 1,930 (19.3 bb)
BTN: 1,950 (19.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 7 Q
CO folds, BTN raises to 200, SB folds, Hero calls 100

Flop: (490) 3 8 6 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

Turn: (490) 8 (2 players)
Hero bets 245, BTN calls 245

River: (980) 4 (2 players)
Hero bets 2,886 and is all-in, BTN calls 1,495 and is all-in

Results: 3,970 pot


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6 replies
Afulibador
Joined: 21.08.2009

Hey Tony
A good question here is: What u are trying to represent?
Can be 8x, and this make sense since u started betting on turn... but are very few combos overall.

After that, one more thing (and important one) to analyze... Villain is inclined to believe u? In other words: Villain is folding that much?

For this we have to look the way he plays, if he is more inclined to a weak tight or a calling station posflop, have a high "went to showdown" stat and these stuff.
The thing is the guy has to know where the "folding button" is. I m never doing this vs a loose caller, for example. Instead, I would play really unbalanced and way weighted towards value (and still get paid most of the time).

The last, but not the least... Ur image. If u was really active at table or not. This can influence how much villain is inclined to call ur big bets.

All of this together goes to balance when deciding going that aggro in the hand _drink:


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Afulibador
Joined: 21.08.2009

I m sorry if my post was a bit big... but I wanted to go into a full detailed post so u could see the full picture behind the play.


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Grisuuu
Joined: 23.04.2014

Hey Afu,

thx for your detailed analyse of the Hand
:f_thumbsup: a post can never be to big!

I had been talking last time with another player on 888 about a similar Hand where he called me down on the bubble with Q high as 2nd Bigstack, (a Winning Player) he said i bluff so much

so that told me something about my Image and now it makes more Sense to me why some of the Regs sometimes go broke even with A high or Bottom Pair against me. Need to adjust there and bluff less and valuebet more!

at the Particular Hand i tryed to represent 8x, or a Fullhouse i was really putting the other guy on a mediocre Hand or A high, i was thinking he sure will call a 1/2 potbet and he also may call a near potsized bet, but i really believed he will fold if i put in all of his Chips, but afterwards i found out that actually he is one of the Regs which like to call me down, so he is a Callingstation against me and therefore i need to adjust as u said going towards Value

:f_thumbsup: Cheers Tony


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Afulibador
Joined: 21.08.2009

The thing is... thinking the guy is weak is not enough. He has to believe that he have a worse hand them u hahahaha
Thats why I think villains are stacking off light when having hero HU. Surprise them being the same aggro guy, but with THE NUTS next time _wink:

Btw, what he had in this hand?


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Grisuuu
Joined: 23.04.2014

Hey Bro,

yeah i gonna adjust next time and betting out like crazy with strong Hands! :f_biggrin:

he had A high, i think he putted me on a polarized Range and therefore made the Call.


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Afulibador
Joined: 21.08.2009

One good idea that I particularly use in those situations...
if villain is that light with u, u can do the same play when hitting a six on this hand if u think he more likely have broadways like AQ that missed, but ll call u because ur image. (villain having a 8 is very unlikely, and a 3 or a 4 even more w his opening range)

Thats the other side of the same coin when people get so loose when facing ur bets _drink:


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