Fold bottom set here?

I would call here. Not a lot of info to go off with only 12 hands recorded for BTN. But I think he's either got a flush draw or an overpair. So, yeah, I would call.

Only 6 possible hands hold sets that beat you.

JJ+ overplayed overpairs is 24 combos, aks, kqs, aqs, ajs, a5s can all find easy shoves here for another combo each.

So 6 possible shoves beat you and 29 more are behind.

Thats not to say villain shoves so many of his overs or draws. But no way am i ever folding the set here.

Your flop 3bet is OK if a little small. Its about an effective 20bb raise in an effective 33bb pot. To punish a possible call from FD you should bet bigger - especially as your hand is a tough fold if the 3rd club hits.

I love the donk as it puts Tx and JJ into your range here and encourages the villain to raise big overs for value.

I called, and he showed 8c7c. He was holding a monster draw, and hits his 9 on the river :/
Should you play monster draws like this, just raise and hope the villain is folding?

You can shove monster draws very easily for bluff value. You are in front of overpairs that dont block your FD and can fold many of them with huge flop strength.

As the open raiser facing flop aggression from callers though, i expect to run into sets or even Ax semibluffed fd more often. So the villain overplayed his hand here for no good reasons at all. Better to call your flop raise and evaluate turn.

I would just ship here and never look back because so many hands will pay you of that are way behind you. I would play monster draw like this to set up my opponent to pay my set or 2 pair next time :-)

No way we are folding here.
Well played. Raise and 3 bet bigger.

This is a call. Note, this is precisely what you are trying to induce when donking strong hands. People will misread you and reraise with their bluff catchers.

One thing. You can donk bigger. This will be misread often too. Inverted logic has it that your big bet looks weak, and the poor sods applying inverted logic will even more furiously attack with weak hands.

Originally posted by YohanN7
This is a call. Note, this is precisely what you are trying to induce when donking strong hands. People will misread you and reraise with their bluff catchers.

+1. I feel the thumbs up feature doesn't emphasise enough just how +1 here. All of this, all of the time.

Originally posted by StVatle
I called, and he showed 8c7c. He was holding a monster draw, and hits his 9 on the river :/
Should you play monster draws like this, just raise and hope the villain is folding?

Monster draws have really good equity, and are often the favorites (even without a made hand yet). So, he is right to put it in in this situation.

I m not folding a set here.
Bet, raise it bigger, and call it proudly ♠_thumbsup:

Originally posted by StVatle
I called, and he showed 8c7c. He was holding a monster draw, and hits his 9 on the river :/
Should you play monster draws like this, just raise and hope the villain is folding?

With a monster draw 12+ outs, you can go AI on flop as you have around 50%+ equity with 2 cards to come.

Easy call here. Villain can overplay overpairs and he can have strong draws here, not only higher sets. WP.