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77 overpair 3 barrel

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Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $6.07 (121.4 bb)
Hero (BB): $5.44 (108.8 bb)
UTG: $5.07 (101.4 bb)
MP: $5.20 (104 bb)
CO: $6.23 (124.6 bb)
BTN: $3.69 (73.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 7 7
3 folds, BTN raises to $0.15, SB calls $0.13, Hero calls $0.10

Flop: ($0.45) 2 3 6 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, BTN bets $0.29, SB folds, Hero calls $0.29

Turn: ($1.03) 3 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $0.69, Hero calls $0.69

River: ($2.41) 3 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $1.85, Hero calls $1.85

Results:

Spoiler

$6.11 pot ($0.25 rake)
Final Board: 2 3 6 3 3
Hero showed 7 7 and won $5.86 ($2.88 net)
BTN showed Q 5 and lost (-$2.98 net)

Stats

VPIP/PFR/AF
FCB-flop/FCB-turn/CB-flop/CB-turn
3 bet/fold 3 bet
Fold to steal/fold to steal on BB from SB/ 3 bet steal

I think the flop and the turn are okay. But the river gives me some trouble. If I had no stats on the guy I would definitely have folded because 3 barrels shows a lot of strength. But I see his stats which indicates that I might have the best hand here because he is aggressive and bets a lot of flops and turns. I think I should have folded here because the stats are too low in sample. Would anyone have a good reason to call here that I forgot?


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5 replies
LoBrue
Joined: 09.11.2013

But I see his stats which indicates that I might have the best hand here because he is aggressive and bets a lot of flops and turns.

Well, the cb-flop and cb-turn are pretty hight but you just have 77 hands so my first question would be:
How many times villian c-bet the flop and the turn. In 77 hands it could be that he was not that often in postflop situations. How many situations do you demand to take a state like this?


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Hand sample is not that big to show if he is betting 3 streets.
Our hand is not good to call 3 streets.
As you called , I hope you made a note on him.


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wimNP
Joined: 11.03.2011

Originally posted by Drawinator
I think the flop and the turn are okay.

On the flop Hero is OOP sandwiched in a defending against a steal situation with a weak toppair.

Boardtexture
The board hit BB's bottom stealrange pretty hard.
A straight could have been made by any villain.
The board is rainbow, so Hero has no outs to a flush.
A backdoor straight would not give Hero the nuts.

Assessing Hero's handstrength
The preflop call is most likely been made for setmining.
Hero didn't get his set on the flop, so basicly he should fold on the flop.
Hero has two outs to a monster.
However: Hero has a weak overpair. This could be the best hand for now. But overcards could come and threaten Hero's possible lead while he has about an 8%-chance to have improved on the river.

Decision to make
Does Hero want to protect his hand with a donkbet?
Does Hero want to play the Villain knowing he has been fairly aggressive in 77 hands?


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Me, personally, I would have actually bet out on the turn with that type of board. And when the 3 comes on the river giving you a full house with an overpair to the board, I would have bet out in that spot too. But that's just me.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Usually you don't have 3 streets of value here so I would have folded OTR.


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