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99 set vs fish

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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Pacific, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $3.24 (64.8 bb)
BB: $3.94 (78.8 bb)
MP: $12.91 (258.2 bb)
Hero (CO): $7.08 (141.6 bb)
BTN: $5 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 9 9
MP folds, Hero raises to $0.15, 2 folds, BB calls $0.10

Flop: ($0.32) Q 9 7 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.24, BB calls $0.24

Turn: ($0.80) 5 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.40, BB raises to $0.80, Hero calls $0.40

River: ($2.40) A (2 players)
BB bets $2.75 and is all-in, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$2.40 pot ($0.12 rake)
Final Board: Q 9 7 5 A
BB mucked and won $2.28 ($1.09 net)
Hero mucked 9 9 and lost (-$1.19 net)

Reads about villain:
Whale, calling machine
63 vpip, 8 pfr, 50% AFq -- 25 hands

I guess preflop and flop are standard. Maybe could bet a bit bigger OTF since villain likes to call.
OTT I'm little bit afraid that villain is slowplaying flush or straight because he opens very wide preflop. I decided to bet only 1/2. When villain min x/r I'm a bit scared but decided to call because we still have good equity.
When villain shoves OTR I think it is better to fold but should I have called vs this guy? I have seen him call with 88 on that kind of board so could he overplay his AQ,Q9 etc?


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6 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Here you can bet flop a little bit bigger, there are FD+SD.
I like the way it is played. No need to make hero stuff.


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AXSPIRAL
Joined: 06.03.2011

yes, hurts to fold but i think its okay. he doesnt play like this with air( i hope atleast t_t).


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kriko92
Joined: 16.11.2010

I'm betting bigger on turn, no need to give any ideas and there is still enough value - his calling range won't change much because of the bigger sizing unless you make it huge. River he is polarized between flushes and bluffs and I'd fold because he is on BB and has a ton of suited hands in his range. Would be much happier to fold if our turn sizing was bigger though.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Yea that turn bet size could have been bigger. I made it smaller because villain is a total fish and can have flushes here. My plan was to fold to aggression. Villains AFq is quite high, which is surprising because I don't remember him being aggressive and I have marked him as calling station. I think his range is value heavy but can he donk shove 2 pair hands here like this.. I think folding was good here. If he had checked river I would have made a small bet again.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

You cannot fold the turn, when you have room for improvement.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Oh yea no sorry, I meant my plan was to fold aggression on the river. Forgot to type that in x)


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