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NL10 NUT FD OTT getting checked raised

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msnek
Joined: 01.10.2008

I wasn't sure while playing it, but I felt its close to call his raise OTT. When analyzed it post session, it really seems like I gotta have at least 26% equity to call to break even and I have ~25.56% against his set(s). So I guess I can call, especially if he will check/call or bet/call my bet (or raise) OTR if I do hit. BTW: Maybe you will laugh at me, but his timing of his check and timing of his raise OTT really felt like SET to me ... :P

Villain was unknown, 29 hands 31/21.

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $23.39 (233.9 bb)
BB: $10.38 (103.8 bb)
Hero (UTG): $10 (100 bb)
MP: $10 (100 bb)
CO: $7.29 (72.9 bb)
BTN: $22.69 (226.9 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A♠: J♠:
Hero raises to $0.26, 3 folds, SB calls $0.21, BB folds

Flop: ($0.62) 8♦: 5♠: 3♠: (2 players)
SB bets $0.44, Hero calls $0.44

Turn: ($1.50) A♣: (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1.08, SB raises to $3.10, Hero calls $2.02

River: ($7.70) 9♦: (2 players)
SB bets $5.90, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$7.70 pot ($0.35 rake)
Final Board: 8♦: 5♠: 3♠: A♣: 9♦:
SB mucked and won $7.35 ($3.55 net)
Hero mucked A♠: J♠: and lost (-$3.80 net)


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3 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I think you played this fine. Calling turn raise seems ok with TP and nut FD and we have some implied odds there. When we do not improve OTR it is a fold.


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

We cannot lead OTT IMO. Villain calls on SB vs UTG, this means he is strong. River is a fold.


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duder1n0
Joined: 07.07.2009

On the flop raising is almost for value with such high equity, especially against a possible fish, but calling is also fine ofc.

As played, I agree with bet/calling turn, and folding river. Btw, not betting turn for value would be a big mistake...


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