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zoom JJ BTN/BB SRP - top set vs huge raise turn + 3/4 river

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vengeance77
Joined: 18.04.2010

[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $25 (100 bb)
BB: $28.57 (114.3 bb)
UTG: $27.05 (108.2 bb)
MP: $26.05 (104.2 bb)
CO: $24.30 (97.2 bb)
Hero (BTN): $30.69 (122.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with J♠ J♣
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, SB folds, BB calls $0.25

Flop: ($1.10) 6♦ T♠ J♥ (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.69, BB calls $0.69

Turn: ($2.48) A♣ (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.56, BB raises to $7.05, Hero calls $5.49

River: ($16.58) 7♣ (2 players)
BB bets $11.87, Hero ?[/hand_history][/converted_hand]


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9 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Any thoughts or any stats on villain?


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NgroMartin
Joined: 31.08.2010

I think OTT you're probably ahead. He could be playing 66, TT, maybe TJs, AJ, AT.
AA should have raise preflop and if he has KQs you still have some Outs, so I would probably just go AI OTT.
OTR I would call for the same reason.


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

Turn I also would raise bigger and try to get it in because here we cannot fold a set


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I would bet bigger on flop and try to get it in on turn.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Shove turn? Villain has some weaker sets and 2 pair in his range. KQ beats you but you still have outs against that. As played, nothing changes on the river so I see no reason to fold.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Bet shove.


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vengeance77
Joined: 18.04.2010

Unknown=passive! with hudge por raise on the turn!
http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: 6dJhTsAc
Equity Win Tie
MP2 56.82% 56.82% 0.00% { TT, 66, KQs, KQo }
MP3 43.18% 43.18% 0.00% { JJ }

if he call TT Pre.

If he's doing this with all of this + AT I can stack him off on the turn, but even to do it with 66, TT it's so optimistic and such a bad play. So most of the time He's going to show me KQ only! I even thought for fold on the turn!


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

You'll never be able to win if you don't lose your stack with big sets once in a while. Just don't fold on turn. (Next, you'll be folding KK to 4-bets preflop.)


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Yohan is right, we simply can not fold this hand.

This is a bit more realistic range:
MP2 57.95% 57.95% 0.00% JJ
MP3 42.05% 42.05% 0.00% TT, 66, AKs, AJs-ATs, KQs, JTs, KQo, JTo


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