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JTo - T cbet?

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Sailer85
Joined: 15.10.2009

My stats: VPIP 36.5 / PFR 26.0 / 3b 12.0 / WTSD 45.1 / Hands 4851

Hand #9
Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 2923138
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

Pre Flop: (1.4 SB) Hero is BTN with J :spade: T :diamond:
2 folds, Hero raises, SB calls, BB calls

Flop: (6 SB) A :spade: 4 :diamond: 5 :heart: (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets, SB folds, BB calls

Turn: (4 BB) K :diamond: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: (4 BB) 2 :club: (2 players)
BB bets, Hero folds

Thoughts
PF: standard
F: standard
T: thought about cbetting...
R: standard

What do you think? cbet T & R? (b/f ofcourse)


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6 replies
Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

This is also good to know what kind of players we are dealing with, but against 2 unknowns I wouldn’t Cbet with nothing on the flop.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Sailer85
Joined: 15.10.2009

I meant c-betting the Turn, I think cbetting the F and representing the A as OR is fine here.

It is just, when I bet the T I also kind a have to bet the R and I do not know if the risk/reward ratio is good enough. 2bet to win 4/5 bets with 4 true outs and 6 possible outs.


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pcbeem
Joined: 16.07.2008

c-bet on flop is fine, but I would c the turn, you only have a SD and he can have a A / K.

So why pay to see the river.....


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Sailer85
Joined: 15.10.2009

Well villain can fold the hand if I bet. On the other hand I can get raised and I will have to fold 7:1 odds...


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MrT61
Joined: 17.09.2011

for me checking turn is ok, teh "2" on the river is a bad card,
I would fold now


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Checking turn most definitely has +EV because about 10% of the time you make the nuts. (Say that +EV is about 0.55 BB because there is 4 BB in the pot and you'll get in a river raise sometimes.) Is betting turn more +EV? If so, then they'd have to both fold some 25-30% of the time (exactly 20% of the time for break even). This I find unrealistic.

Another point is that c-betting excessively is an error - even on flops when HU. Mathematically, you should bluff much less versus two than versus one, especially when both hang around until turn.


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