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9 max SnG 0.5$ QsTs on BTN Ahxhxh board against a BB

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TomClassy
Joined: 06.05.2015

PokerStars - $0.44+$0.06|25/50 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 21 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 26.67, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 15)
UTG: 27.7 BB (VPIP: 11.86, PFR: 7.34, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 119)
UTG+1: 23.5 BB (VPIP: 26.67, PFR: 13.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 15)
MP: 23.5 BB (VPIP: 12.12, PFR: 9.38, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 33)
MP+1: 54.08 BB (VPIP: 73.33, PFR: 28.57, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 15)
CO: 28 BB (VPIP: 21.05, PFR: 15.79, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 19)
Hero (BTN): 63.92 BB
SB: 28.3 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 33)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T♠ Q♠

fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.5 BB, fold, BB calls 1.5 BB

Flop: (5.5 BB, 2 players) A♥ 4♥ 8♥
BB checks, Hero bets 2.64 BB, BB calls 2.64 BB

Turn: (10.78 BB, 2 players) 6♠
BB checks, Hero bets 5.16 BB, BB calls 5.16 BB

River: (21.1 BB, 2 players) 5♦
BB checks, Hero bets 53.62 BB and is all-in, BB calls 10.7 BB and is all-in


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5 replies
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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

This looks like spew at the 50c stakes against pretty much a unknown here and I would give up the turn without any info on him with Q high and no draw.

Further it’s good to know what your plan was here.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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TomClassy
Joined: 06.05.2015

Lets assume that he has a 19% cold calling range excluding top 5% which he most likely 3bet preflop

This way he has 5% of flushes, 3% of sets, 5% of two pairs, 29% of top pairs (7 FD and 22 nonFD), 17% weak pairs , 40% of nonmade hands. We have no hand at all and cann't win the pot at a showdown 90% of times so we need to act or give up.
Opponent's check most often means that he either has a draw to a flush, a flush, Ax with a FD, Ax with no fd which is not sure if his hand is good enough too initiate, a weak pair or no made hand (I assume that an aggro opp with sets, 2 pair and strong Ax hands would lead out for protection) That breaks down into 91% of preflop range with about 54/91=59% of hands which have a bit worse, same or better equity on that board and may decide to fold. Given that fact I think we want to cbet the flop with such a bad hand.

OTT I think I should have give up when I saw a passive play style from an opp with agro stats and Ahigh heart board coz he was not likely to have a drawing hand. Even if had Ax nodraw or weak pair type of hand after the flop then has to fold them in more than 60% to make an AI bluff profitable.
That is why I think It was a big mistake to try to push him out OTT
same aplies OTR


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TomClassy
Joined: 06.05.2015

It was actually a spew that is why I decided to teach myself a lesson by putting it here do some analysis.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Sounds like a good analyze of yourself, but beware that it’s difficult to give someone a good post-flop range based on only 15 hands.

Originally posted by TomClassy
It was actually a spew that is why I decided to teach myself a lesson by putting it here do some analysis.

That sounds fair enough :f_wink:


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slippyjim
Joined: 07.10.2011

His VPIP is 33% so his calling range in the BB is going to be more than 19%.
If his total VPIP is 33% his BB calling a BTN raise is gonna be way high maybe 50-60%+
Bet flop and give up OTT or check back flop and if he checks turn go for a delayed cbet


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