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AKs 3-bet pot
 
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AKs 3-bet pot

 
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Last Post by nitrol 10 years ago
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mistralx
mistralx
Joined: 13.08.2014
Posts: 1,197
01.09.2016, 10:03

PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 111.5 BB
Hero (SB): 129 BB
BB: 125.5 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
UTG: 74.5 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 4)
MP: 8 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
CO: 193 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♣ K♣

fold, fold, CO raises to 3 BB, fold, Hero raises to 9 BB, fold, CO calls 6 BB

Flop: (19 BB, 2 players) 4♣ 3♣ T♥
Hero bets 10 BB, CO calls 10 BB

Turn: (39 BB, 2 players) Q♥
Hero bets 20.5 BB, CO calls 20.5 BB

River: (80 BB, 2 players) 6♥
Hero ?

Do you think I should have barrel there for the 3rd time?
I mean - his range in this spot are mostly Tx (TT he raises OTT, 77-99 he should fold OTT).
Can I generate there folding equity enaugh? He should fold JTs, KTs and ATs, what do you think?


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9 replies
la55i
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013
Posts: 8,896
01.09.2016, 10:25

By checking you probably lose. If you bet for example 50bb, villain has to fold 40% of the time. I think this would make a decent 3 barrel bluff.


Blog :spade: Private Coaching :spade: Website

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Mozzek
Mozzek
Joined: 16.07.2016
Posts: 1,096
01.09.2016, 10:50

I wouldn´t bet OTR. We don´t know him and I don´t think it worth the risk especially on NL5 when can call you with pair of 3. Also WTSD stat would help a lot, but as we don´t have any info, I just wouldn´t go for it.


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nitrol
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010
Posts: 11,244
01.09.2016, 12:48

River is a xf. He called 3b and 2 barrels.


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mistralx
mistralx
Joined: 13.08.2014
Posts: 1,197
01.09.2016, 13:05

Originally posted by nitrol
River is a xf. He called 3b and 2 barrels.

Actually this is how I played.
He showed J♦:T♦: so in this particular spot 3rd barell would probably work.


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la55i
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013
Posts: 8,896
01.09.2016, 13:51

Well that was a bit loose call from villain OTT but I guess unknown villains can have hands like this. Also some weaker Qx are in his range. When we 3 barrel in 3bet pot he should have hard time even calling with AQ here and with 50bb bet we need him to fold only 40%. Nothing here suggests that he has a strong hand like 2pair+.
So when we are probably losing quite often by checking but we have a chance to win the pot with a bet, and we have already invested quite much money, I think it would be more +EV to bet on the long run.


Blog :spade: Private Coaching :spade: Website

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YohanN7
YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009
Posts: 4,700
01.09.2016, 14:20

What you have invested in the pot already is totally irrelevant. It doesn't matter whether it is you who put the money in the pot or the two of you won a Poker Stars lottery getting to fight over the $ in the middle. (This is an insight you must absolutely acquire.)


There's always going to be one fly in the ointment - Boomer2k10

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la55i
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013
Posts: 8,896
01.09.2016, 14:53

Yes that is true, my bad.
What are your thoughts on checking or calling river?


Blog :spade: Private Coaching :spade: Website

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YohanN7
YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009
Posts: 4,700
01.09.2016, 14:59

If I had notes on this guy (calling station + does not hate money) I'd fire river. Versus unknown, it is quite close. We might be overbluffing if we bet this and all worse. We'll have some smaller suited connectors to bluff with and not that many value bets. Also, an unknown will have a much stronger range than the present fish so he folds less.


There's always going to be one fly in the ointment - Boomer2k10

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nitrol
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010
Posts: 11,244
01.09.2016, 17:32

Originally posted by mistralx

Originally posted by nitrol
River is a xf. He called 3b and 2 barrels.

Actually this is how I played.
He showed J♦:T♦: so in this particular spot 3rd barell would probably work.

I am not sure about that on blank river...


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