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1$ Goldfish 88 facing x/r on the flop

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multiBase
Joined: 02.02.2012

No-Limit Hold'em Tournament, 2,500/5,000 Blinds (7 handed) - Converter Tool from http://www.flopturnriver.com

UTG (t83,428)
Hero (MP1) (t139,466)
MP2 (t76,742)
CO (t138,653)
Button (t45,389)
SB (t126,808)
BB (t276,678)

Hero's M: 18.60

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 8♥, 8♦
1 fold, Hero raises t10,000, 4 folds, BB calls t5,000

Flop: (t22,500) 9♠, 5♦, 9♦ (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t13,437, BB raises t35,311, Hero folds

Total pot: t49,374

Hi,

V is 30/23 @ 99 hands.

Giving him 30% without a top, which presumably he shall 3bet with (KK+/QQ+ AK), he has no made hand or A high more than 60%. He has decent amounts of 9x, e.g. Q9, J9 if he flats 3bet light, however it's still small portion of his range.

Do you think I shall call here and get out just if scary cards come? It looks like he is trapping with some sort of A9 / K9, 55 even, but perhaps he turns his overs into a bluff?

What's your take on it?


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4 replies
Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

It’s likely he’s most likely raising as semi bluff or something and I don’t think those hands will fold on a shove. I would most likely call 1 street and her-evaluate the turn.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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EinsteinFranck
Joined: 30.01.2009

Can you give a rough idea of the cards you'd proceed with and the cards you'd fold.

Namely, after Hero's call on the flop, the pot is now 92k. Hero has basically a pot-sized bet left and Villain covers him.

I guess any non-diamond below the 9 is considered a safe card. I also assume that an A and a K would be considered a scare cards. But what about T to K?

Cheers


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

All pairs I would raise pre-flop and better I think.
A T or K isn’t hitting his raising range to much I think or he has a T♦: or K♦: with another :diamond:


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EinsteinFranck
Joined: 30.01.2009

So in this spot, you'd call flop and shove (or call) any non-diamond and non-A card?

If you were OOP on the flop, would you also call or decide between shove and fold?


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