Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
Hero (SB): $27.52 (110.1 bb)
BB: $28.99 (116 bb)
UTG: $29.27 (117.1 bb)
MP: $20.45 (81.8 bb)
CO: $12.90 (51.6 bb)
BTN: $26.03 (104.1 bb)
Preflop: Hero is SB with J♠: A♦:
3 folds, BTN raises to $0.75, Hero raises to $2.50, BB folds, BTN calls $1.75
Flop: ($5.25) 9♦: 8♣: 4♣: (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks
Turn: ($5.25) 7♠: (2 players)
Hero bets $2.70, BTN calls $2.70
River: ($10.65) 8♦: (2 players)
Hero???
Preflop: BTN is playing 38/25 in 8 hands. AJo is a standard 3bet for me in this situation. Furthermore, BB plays 26/21 and 3bets 8,3% in 558 hands, so I expect alot of squeezes in case I call.
Flop: I didn't hit and the board favorize the BTN alot, so I decided to check/fold.
Turn: When he didn't bet the flop, I assume he doesn't have TP+. Flushdraws and straightdraws are probably betting, too. So I believe he might have something like AK-AJ, KQ, 77-22. Also, the population read is that they fold more than 50% vs delayed Turn cbet in those situations when IP. All this makes me to decide for a delayed cbet. True that I don't represent alot, either, but I think it's more important what his range is.
River: The Turn bet was profitable alone, so betting the River is not mandatory, imo, but if we think about his range, I think he still has quite amount of better hands that he will be villing to fold, like 66, 55, AK-AQ.
