[PLO2] KJJTss single raised pot OOP

I think check-calling is fine, or shoving as he may call with 2prs. T9 or unlikely backdoor straight only thing that got there, and you block T, so Im not keen on folding here. Too bad you block KJ too so not much 2prs, I guess I like checking best if he wants to bluff AKQT type of hands.

Makes no sense to bet 50bb otr and then call the rest 7bb. Just shove if you decide to bet.

Agreed. The only thing we shouldn't do otr is bet/c for 7bb more since he's never bluffing when he raises. Either value shove riv or x/c, based on your overall read of villain. I'd lead towards shoving because I can find many hands of his that have no sdv, otr so if we check we negative freeroll ourselves to a degree. You showed a lot of strength otf (multiway) and ott so he basically puts you on top or middle set. I doubt he expects you to fold them, so thinking about it, I like either x/f or shove.

But if you think villain has many non sdv hands, shouldnt you check because only way he will win is with a bluff, and he will never call your shove? If you shove you've estimated that he has more showdown value hands or bluffcatchers, that are worse than your set.

Makes no sense to bet 50bb

Completely agree
When I bet that big on the turn I think I commit myself for the rest of the stack on the river. May be I should have bet a bit smaller turn so that I can find a fold on the river, because many cards will be bad for me.

Originally posted by SeagalSteven
But if you think villain has many non sdv hands, shouldnt you check because only way he will win is with a bluff, and he will never call your shove? If you shove you've estimated that he has more showdown value hands or bluffcatchers, that are worse than your set.

Agreed. But I think it's hard for villain to have no sdv on this particular river. Either he has a big draw which got there (he doesn't have bare QT ott vs pot bet) or his has strongish pair+ which can x/b.

Originally posted by SuperChompa

Makes no sense to bet 50bb

Completely agree
When I bet that big on the turn I think I commit myself for the rest of the stack on the river. May be I should have bet a bit smaller turn so that I can find a fold on the river, because many cards will be bad for me.

I don't think you should under protect your hand ott just because there will be bad rivers for you. If you bet, say, half pot ott, you see way more rivers so you'll end up giving up the pot way more often (if you x/f bad rivers). If we think villain is drawing here a lot then x/f bad river is ok, isn't it?

Pot turn and puke river. ♦

Check-call on the river is fine. I don't think check-folding is an option, so we can use Basic River Model ( https://www.pokerstrategy.com/video/41302/) to check if bet or c-call is in place.

thanks guys