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AKo, villain reg, raise flop c-bet high over 5/25 hands

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advancedTN1984
Joined: 29.10.2012

PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 195.7 BB
SB: 241.8 BB
BB: 103.8 BB
Hero (UTG): 105.2 BB
CO: 101.5 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K♥ A♥

Hero raises to 3 BB, CO calls 3 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 2 BB

Flop: (9.5 BB, 3 players) K♦ 7♠ 8♦
BB checks, Hero bets 5.5 BB, CO raises to 11 BB, fold, Hero calls 5.5 BB

Turn: (31.5 BB, 2 players) 2♣
Hero checks, CO bets 22.6 BB, Hero calls 22.6 BB

River: (76.7 BB, 2 players) 6♠
Hero checks, CO bets 54.9 BB, fold

CO wins 73.2 BB

Villain reg, 24/17 over 560 handen, raise flop c-bet 5/25(20%)

Giving up river just fine, with just a bare bluff catcher?


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

His min raise on the flop is already suspicious for me in a multi way pot. I expect he will do this often with sets and less as semi bluffs, but that depends a lot on reads you have on him.

That’s why I would already fold on the turn with I expect no bluffs in his range.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

I agree with folding the turn, I would most likelly do that. The turn card doesn't change much, but if he was bluffing OTF, he would usually give up OTT at these limits. I would say we are against sets most often.


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Dadramel
Joined: 10.08.2014

I doubt he mini raises with fd (more like a 3x raise)


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advancedTN1984
Joined: 29.10.2012

You guys take into consideration that he does this 5 out of 25 times so far? Over not that huge sample, 560 hands. So we can say that he doesnt do it only with sets.

I delved a bit into his hand, by time playing not seen it. But for one instance he miniraises and follows through on turn against fish with top pair mediocre kicker type of hands.

So I think honestly that I cann't fold turn his sizing is a bit groce though.


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

I would still call turn since the 2 doesn't change anything. As played, river is indeed a fold.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Originally posted by advancedTN1984
You guys take into consideration that he does this 5 out of 25 times so far? ...

No!

The turn bet is too big to be called (blank or no blank). You have FDs + SDs + sets and two pairs (87s) to call (or reraise) with before this hand.


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