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Should i bluff this river?

 
Hand discussions for No Limit
Last Post by SDK1987 9 years ago
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tapatop
tapatop
Joined: 01.09.2009
Posts: 5
03.07.2017, 13:17 +1

Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $5.81 (116.2 bb)
BB: $6.66 (133.2 bb)
UTG: $1.63 (32.6 bb)
MP: $7.09 (141.8 bb)
Hero (CO): $5.11 (102.2 bb)
BTN: $4.37 (87.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with J♣: K♦:
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.12, BTN calls $0.12, 2 folds

Flop: ($0.31) 8♦: T♣: 9♦: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.18, BTN calls $0.18

Turn: ($0.67) T♦: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.38, BTN calls $0.38

River: ($1.43) 3♠: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.82, BTN calls $0.82

Results:

Spoiler

$3.07 pot ($0.13 rake)
Final Board: 8♦: T♣: 9♦: T♦: 3♠:
Hero showed J♣: K♦: and lost (-$1.50 net)
BTN showed J♥: Q♣: and won $2.94 ($1.44 net)

I have OESD on the Flop and OESD +FD +2 OC OTT. Is the bluff on the river +EV on this board?


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7 replies
VaskataBuci
VaskataBuci
Joined: 08.08.2011
Posts: 1,265
03.07.2017, 13:30

The opponent looks fish considering stack size and I don't see him folding almost anything which beats you.


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Hesticus
Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008
Posts: 2,612
03.07.2017, 14:58

I also think we should be careful with bluffing vs villain here. If you want to make a move, have this strategy ready before the flop. For instance, such board would be better to x/r and fire again OTT instead of firing yourself.


Follow my way to get the best version out of myself

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Deomedes
Deomedes
Joined: 12.11.2011
Posts: 156
04.07.2017, 21:25

Betting flop and turn can be justified easily cause you fold alot of villain's equity share. It should be noted though that X (C) the flop a % of the time is cool. Villain will opt to x back than Double barell OTT most of the hands that will float bet the turn but never fold the flop to a cbet OTF.

Usually in the micros when players hit on these boards they bet (big) their entire value range and the Xs are an invitation to just multi-barell them. It is reasonable cause people call with almost everything though.

Anyways, OTR you need to XF on that card.

What is your plan on a diamond though? And what is on a Q OTR?


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Dadramel
Dadramel
Joined: 10.08.2014
Posts: 1,713
05.07.2017, 09:51

Feq is low because none of the draws complete, he sees it that way


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tapatop
tapatop
Joined: 01.09.2009
Posts: 5
05.07.2017, 12:03

" What is your plan on a diamond though? And what is on a Q OTR? "

On a diamond or Q OTR i am overbetting 120- 30 % or go all in to maximize my equity against calling stations on this levels.They will pay offen enough with OP, sets, two pairs, etc.Or just to see what i have. :)


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KatalonacX
KatalonacX
Joined: 22.11.2013
Posts: 171
05.07.2017, 19:43

River is brick and after bet 1/2 pot OTF,OTT, fish is not scared, you bet 1/2 OTR, most viliain(fish) will call even with 9x. Your KdJc bloks part of range you wants to fold, so xf is best imo.


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SDK1987
Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008
Posts: 43,850
06.07.2017, 07:23

Originally posted by tapatop
" What is your plan on a diamond though? And what is on a Q OTR? "

On a diamond or Q OTR i am overbetting 120- 30 % or go all in to maximize my equity against calling stations on this levels.They will pay offen enough with OP, sets, two pairs, etc.Or just to see what i have. :)
If there was a 4th diamond on the river I would bet for sure for value against him. Then you only lose against the A♦: and a full house. I expect it’s not to likely he has that. Then you can off course still fold if he’s shoving on you.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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