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River decision 44 @4xxxx 4-flush

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Sendrafreak
Joined: 31.05.2011

Opponent: 14/9/2,3 (~200)

SB: $0.84 (42 bb)
BB: $2.02 (101 bb)
MP1: $2.44 (122 bb)
MP2: $2.16 (108 bb)
Hero (MP3): $2.32 (116 bb)
CO: $3.14 (157 bb)
BTN: $2.98 (149 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 4♠ 4♥
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.06, CO folds, BTN calls $0.06, SB calls $0.05, BB folds

Flop: ($0.20) 9♥ 4♦ Q♦ (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.14, BTN calls $0.14, SB calls $0.14

Turn: ($0.62) 5♦ (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.44, BTN calls $0.44, SB folds

River: ($1.50) 8♦ (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $0.73, Hero folds

Until the river it should be standard, then the flush hits. Would you fold on his 1/2 ps bet? Or even bet/fold? (I don't like it because I think no worse hands will call me whatsoever)


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6 replies
AndrewDee123
Joined: 15.07.2017

Hi Sendrafreak
River is a bad card for you unfortunately. Needless to betfold river, you will almost never get paid by worse. Your hand is well played.
Good luck!


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A suited hand has only 3% of equity over offsuited, just, because is difficult to make a flush. Because of that I don't see the river card as a problem. You have enough value to bet on river and call a raise that the villain will do with two pairs or worst.


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Mozzek
Joined: 16.07.2016

I think its ok as played. The question is if we want to turn our hand into bluff. I prefer just x otr as opp seems to be a nit so not likely to bluff vs ur c. B/c otr is totally -ev at least on microstakes. I like x/f otr. All in all wp.


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GleDi713
Joined: 19.07.2017

Yeah your play is ok. However, I think a pot sized bet is better on the flop with two players on the hand. And also a 0.35$ bet would be sufficent OTT to get all the information about your opponents hand.


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GleDi713
Joined: 19.07.2017

A suited hand has only 3% of equity over offsuited, just, because is difficult to make a flush. Because of that I don't see the river card as a problem.

:spit: Seriously, the greatest nonsense I have read so far in this site!


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

Originally posted by GleDi713

Originally posted by Arnalsan
A suited hand has only 3% of equity over offsuited, just, because is difficult to make a flush. Because of that I don't see the river card as a problem.

:spit: Seriously, the greatest nonsense I have read so far in this site!

yeah sure, it's nonsense. but this is a NL2 hand, so make an effort to be nice.

about 3% of equity edge is true preflop. you are not considering that hand strengths change on each street and people play accordingly.
the deal with suited hands is playability - often times you don't hit anything and it plays out just as an unsuited hand, but when you have a draw you gain enough equity that most often allows you to play the hand further (by calling or semibluff betting/raising).
a hand with one A:d is nothing special preflop, but on that turn it becomes a reasonable draw, and it's an easy call if you have a pair to go with it.

regarding the river play, of course (most) people aren't complete idiots, so you have to think of hands that BTN could be calling flop and turn with.
that's probably something like either a queen (AQ/KQ/QT mostly, twopair with Q9 should be rare) or a hand with a good diamond, like A:d and K:d.
if you bet the river, everyone should realize that any hand with a beats them, so queen-pair hands should fold (they only beat complete bluffs), leaving two-pair hands (unlikely) and hands with a diamond (which you lose to).

so, what most likely will happen at these stakes is that, if the opponent doesn't have a diamond, the river goes check/check and you win. if he bets, it's probably A:d or K:d.


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