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I do not think villain has it. What do you think?

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RubbyDubby
Joined: 15.02.2018

Yes dear friends.. I got bored a bit and descended down to 2NL 6 tables to have some action (5NL is so tight) only for today!

SB: 108.5 BB (VPIP: 23.33, PFR: 13.33, 3Bet Preflop: 6.45, Hands: 60)
BB: 62.5 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 52)
UTG: 101.5 BB (VPIP: 23.78, PFR: 19.78, 3Bet Preflop: 8.85, Hands: 728)
MP: 66 BB (VPIP: 45.26, PFR: 36.17, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 98)
Hero (CO): 259.5 BB
BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 23.32, PFR: 18.18, 3Bet Preflop: 10.78, Hands: 352)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 6♠ 4♠

fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, BTN calls 3 BB, fold, BB calls 2 BB

Flop: (9.5 BB, 3 players) 4♣ 2♣ 5♠
BB checks, Hero checks, BTN bets 6 BB, fold, Hero calls 6 BB
I think here I might get payed when I hit my some.

Turn: (21.5 BB, 2 players) 5♣
Hero bets 15 BB, BTN calls 15 BB
Well.. I can have a 5 or clubs or 33 or 22 can I? :)

River: (51.5 BB, 2 players) 4♦
Hero bets 25 BB, BTN raises to 76 BB and is all-in
I value bet and BAM! villain goes all in.

What do yo guys think? Does villain has a 5 or more?


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9 replies
Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

good old zeebo's theorem
your best chance here is that he misread the board and ships a flush or 22


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AgapieGheorghe
Joined: 10.07.2011

Oh NL2 the place where we come from Valhalla to show our skill to the average fish :f_biggrin:

What do yo guys think? Does villain has a 5 or more?

The villain always have it :f_drink:


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Oracleman
Joined: 16.11.2016

The villain sure thinks they have it. But "having it" for them could be straight +.


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AgapieGheorghe
Joined: 10.07.2011

Originally posted by Tomaloc
good old zeebo's theorem

I was playing NL2 a few weeks ago and had a full house and of course i've betted all-in the river and the f***ing reg at NL2 show me he has a full house also... and folded.

Zeebo's theorem was ruined at NL2 :truestory:


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

yeah, many players are already capable of folding full houses. zeebo only holds for the weaker players now :f_cry:


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pokerboy198229
Joined: 20.08.2011

i was check folding turn to prevent all this....


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RubbyDubby
Joined: 15.02.2018

Originally posted by pokerboy198229
i was check folding turn to prevent all this....

I would fold preflop if I were you, but I like to piss around once in a while

Anyways....

Spoiler

Hero calls 51 BB

BTN shows 3♥ 3♣ (Two Pair, Fives and Fours)
(Pre 50%, Flop 31%, Turn 36%)
Hero shows 6♠ 4♠ (Full House, Fours full of Fives)
(Pre 50%, Flop 69%, Turn 64%)
Hero wins 196.5 BB

Well.... I thought the chances of him having a 5.. calling with 56 suited would be the only possibility hand PF (who on earth plays 46 suited...??)
Flushes or straights more in his range and I had the feeling he did not put me on a 5 or a 4 (cuz I was CO).

I have no clue if this was such a good call but hey, it was a fun hand!

:f_drink:


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clovenhoofsdoom
Joined: 04.03.2016

On NL2 they can triple barrel bluff with 100% AIR (not even overcards) into 2 opponents and shove then river over your raise. So why would that ever ever ever be a fold? Some people there just never have it if they shove.

I do think 64s is a good enough steal hand to open raise from CO.


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MrQNo
Joined: 30.09.2006

Preflop: 64s is e bit laggy from CO. Nothing wrong with that style, if you master it.

Flop: Pair+Gutshot ... i would cbet. 6 outs will not get the proper price for calling down. So you would not mind if you win the small pot here.

As played, ott you should check behind. Your hand is too weak for a value bet, but it has sd value and is too strong to be turned into a bluff.

Otr, you have 2nd nuts, this is NL2, villain might overplay a straight or even an overpair. Or he is confused by your play and tries to bluff.of. ourse you will see the occasional 5. But you ge 3:1, you have to call.


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